The Phoenix Mercury and Dallas Wings meet Thursday in WNBA action at the College Park Center. Here’s a Wings vs Mercury Prediction. This article will include a Wings vs Mercury Pick.
Phoenix Mercury Betting Preview
The Phoenix Mercury recently lost to the Sun and Sparks. The Mercury have won 11 of their last 16 games.
The Phoenix Mercury are averaging 83.2 points on 43.4 percent shooting and allowing 79.6 points on 42.5 percent shooting. Satou Sabally is averaging 16.3 points and 6 rebounds, while Alyssa Thomas is averaging 15.9 points and 9 rebounds. Kahleah Copper is the third double-digit scorer and DeWanna Bonner is grabbing 4.3 rebounds. The Phoenix Mercury are shooting 33.8 percent from beyond the arc and 78.8 percent from the free throw line. The Phoenix Mercury are allowing 32.3 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 35.7 rebounds per game.
Dallas Wings Betting Preview
The Dallas Wings recently lost to the Valkyries and Sparks. The Wings have lost 21 of their last 24 games.
The Dallas Wings are averaging 81.5 points on 42.1 percent shooting and allowing 88.2 points on 46.1 percent shooting. Paige Bueckers is averaging 19.1 points and 5.3 assists, while Arike Ogunbowale is averaging 15.5 points and 2.5 rebounds. Maddy Siegrist is the third double-digit scorer and Haley Jones is dishing 2.4 assists. The Dallas Wings are shooting 30.7 percent from beyond the arc and 80.2 percent from the free-throw line. The Dallas Wings are allowing 38.9 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 35 rebounds per game.
Phoenix Mercury @ Dallas Wings Betting Trends: September 11, 2025
Why the Dallas Wings will win
- The Mercury have lost each of their last six road games against the Wings after losing as favorites.
- The home team has won each of the Wings’ last four games.
- The Mercury have failed to cover the spread in each of their last four games.
- The home team has covered the spread in each of the last four games between the Wings and Mercury.
Why the Phoenix Mercury will win
- The Wings have lost each of their last 10 games.
- The Mercury have won six of their last seven road games against Western Conference opponents that held a losing record.
- The Wings have failed to cover the spread in seven of their last eight home games.
- The Mercury have covered the spread in seven of their last eight games as road favorites against Western Conference opponents.
Total Points Facts
- Each of the Mercury’s last eight night games have gone UNDER the total points line.
- Each of the last seven games between the Wings and Mercury have gone OVER the total points line.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Dallas Wings rank 12th for opponent blocks per game this season (4.8).
- The Dallas Wings rank 12th for opponent field goal percentage this season (46.0%).
- The Phoenix Mercury have recorded 10+ three-pointers in each of their last three games – team’s equal-longest streak since 2018.
- The Phoenix Mercury rank 1st for bench points per game (25.1) this season.
Wings vs Mercury Injury Report
The Wings will be without Arike Ogunbowale, Luisa Geiselsoder, JJ Quinerly, Li Yueru, and Tyasha Harris.
The Mercury will be without DeWanna Bonner due to rest. Lexi Held is questionable with a quad injury.
Wings vs Mercury Prediction
The Mercury have nothing to play for as they’re locked into a series with the Liberty, and it’s why we’re seeing Bonner out. Don’t be surprised if others are limited. Still, this line is soft, as the Wings have lost and failed to cover numbers all year regardless of the circumstances. The Mercury beat the Wings by 30 points in the last meeting back in July. The Wings haven’t won a game in a month, and they’ve failed to cover 7 of their last 10 games. I’ll roll with the Mercury as a fade of the Wings.