Missouri Tigers (4-1) vs. Massachusetts Minutemen (1-5)
October 12, 2024 12:00 pm EDT
The Line: Massachusetts Minutemen +27.5 / Missouri Tigers -27.5; Over/Under: +54.5
(Get latest betting odds)
The Missouri Tigers and Umass Minutemen meet Saturday in week 7 college football action at Warren McGuirk Alumni Stadium. Here’s a Massachusetts vs Missouri Prediction. This article will include a Massachusetts vs Missouri Pick.
Missouri Tigers Betting Preview
The Missouri Tigers beat Vanderbilt, lost to Texas A&M, and they play Auburn next. The Missouri Tigers have lost 6 of their last 10 road games. Brady Cook is completing 63.6 percent of his passes for 1,132 yards, 5 touchdowns, and 1 interception. Theo Wease Jr. and Luther Burden III have combined for 698 receiving yards and 5 touchdowns, while Mookie Cooper has 9 receptions.
The Missouri Tigers ground game is averaging 178.8 yards per contest, and Nate Noel leads the way with 471 yards and 2 touchdowns. Defensively, Missouri is allowing 17.8 points and 277.6 yards per game. Corey Flagg Jr. leads the Missouri Tigers with 26 tackles, Khalil Jacobs has 2 sacks and Dreyden Norwood has 1 interception.
Umass Minutemen Betting Preview
The Umass Minutemen lost to Miami (OH) and Northern Illinois, and they play Wagner next. Massachusetts has lost 6 of its last 8 home games. Taisun Phommachanh is completing 57.5 percent of his passes for 1,280 yards, 7 touchdowns, and 3 interceptions. Jakobie Keeney-James and Jacquon Gibson have combined for 686 receiving yards and 3 touchdowns, while TY Harding has 7 receptions.
The Umass Minutemen ground game is averaging 133 yards per contest, and Phommachanh leads the way with 253 yards and 1 touchdown. Defensively, Umass is allowing 31.3 points and 324.2 yards per game. Jalen Stewart leads the Umass Minutemen with 37 tackles, Sahnai Swain-Price has 1 sack and Ryan Barnes has 1 interception.
Why the Missouri Tigers will win
- Missouri has won each of its last 10 games against non-AP-ranked teams.
- Massachusetts has lost nine of its last 10 games in October.
- Massachusetts has failed to cover the spread in 10 of its last 11 games at Warren McGuirk Alumni Stadium.
- Missouri has covered the spread in each of its last four road games against non-AP-ranked teams.
- Missouri has won the first half in seven of its last eight games against non-conference opponents.
Total Points Facts
- Each of Missouri’s last four games as a road favorite has gone OVER the total points line.
- Four of Massachusetts’ last five games against AP-ranked teams have gone OVER the total points line.
Matchup/League Facts
- Massachusetts ranks 123rd among FBS teams for Q3 points per game this season (2.8).
- Massachusetts ranks 123rd among FBS teams for H2 opponent points per game this season (17.7).
- Missouri ranks 5th among FBS teams for 1st downs against this season (65).
- Missouri ranks T125th among FBS teams for Q4 points per game this season (3.8).
Massachusetts vs Missouri Prediction
It’s hard to see the Missouri Tigers play last week and then lay four touchdowns with them on the road. With that said, I’m willing to shoot Missouri some bail and say they’re not that bad. Missouri should also be motivated to take out some frustration. The Massachusetts Minutemen are 117th in scoring offense and 106th in scoring defense. Missouri is easily the best team Massachusetts will see up to this point. This should get ugly, and Missouri needs it to get folks to forget about last week. I’ll lay the points.
