Buffalo Bills at Miami Dolphins – 9/20/20 NFL Pick, Odds, and Prediction

The Buffalo Bills and Miami Dolphins meet Sunday in week 2 NFL action at Hard Rock Stadium.

The Buffalo Bills look for a quick 2-0 start after beating the New York Jets in their season opener. The Buffalo Bills have won six of their last eight road games. Josh Allen is completing 71.7 percent of his passes for 312 yards, two touchdowns and zero interceptions. Allen has two or more touchdown passes in four of his last eight games. Stefan Diggs and John Bitemn have combined for 156 receiving yards and one touchdown while Cole Beasley has four receptions. The Buffalo Bills ground game is averaging 98 yards per contest, and Allen leads the way with 57 yards and one touchdown. Defensively, Buffalo is allowing 17 points and 254 yards per game. Taron Johnson leads the Buffalo Bills with five tackles, Tyrel Dodson has one sack and Matt Milano has one interception.

The Miami Dolphins look for their first win after a season opening loss to the New England Patriots. The Miami Dolphins have won three of their last four home games. Ryan Fitzpatrick is completing 66.7 percent of his passes for 191 yards, zero touchdowns and three interceptions. Fitzpatrick has one or less touchdown passes in five of his last nine games. DeVante Parker and Preston Williams have combined for 88 receiving yards on six catches while Mike Gesicki has three receptions. The Miami Dolphins ground game is averaging 87 yards per contest, and Myles Gaskin leads the way with 40 yards on nine carries. Defensively, Miami is allowing 21 points and 357 yards per game. Jerome Baker leads the Miami Dolphins with 16 tackles, Kyle Van Noy has one sack and Christian Wilkins has two pass deflections.

The Bills are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as a favorite, 7-1-2 ATS in their last 10 road games and 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall. The Dolphins are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 vs. AFC East, 4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games and 9-4 ATS in their last 13 games overall. The under is 6-2 in Bills last 8 games overall. The over is 6-2 in Dolphins last 8 games overall. The favorite is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 meetings.

There’s a lot of money coming in on the Buffalo Bills, as this line has jumped a ton, and I’m just not buying it. The Bills are a solid team on both sides of the ball, but I don’t have confidence in Allen at quarterback and no trust in a QB makes me hesitant to lay big chalk on the road. The Miami Dolphins are also better than what they showed in their opening game, mainly on the defensive side where they couldn’t stop the running game. This line is out of control. Give me the fins and the points, a game they could win outright.