Miami Hurricanes Vs. North Carolina State Wolfpack 9/29/12 Ryan’s Free College Football Pick Against the Spread
The North Carolina State Wolfpack defeated the Citadel, 52-14, to improve their record to 3-1 on the season. This is the third straight win for NC State after losing their season opener to Tennessee. The Wolfpack scored touchdowns on five of their six drives in the first half and had a 35 points lead at halftime. NC State was without the three running backs that started the season at the top of their depth chart due to injuries and a suspension. However, the Wolfpack still managed to run for a season high 284 yards. RB Shadrach Thornton played in his first career game for the Wolfpack and the freshman ran for 145 yards and two touchdowns. NC State QB Mike Glennon completed 19 of 24 passes for 233 yards and ran for two touchdowns and passed for one more. The Wolfpack defense forced 2 turnovers and only allowed 226 yards to the Citadel offense. The defense did give up 199 yards on the ground, but only allowed 27 yards through the air on Saturday. Again, NC State has won three consecutive games but wins over Connecticut, South Alabama, and Citadel doesn’t necessarily constitute as quality wins. The Wolfpack will head out on the road to face Miami this week, and will need to be at their best if they want to have a shot of winning.
The Miami Hurricanes will look to carry the momentum over in to this week after beating Georgia Tech, 42-36, in a thrilling overtime game on Saturday afternoon. The Hurricanes scored the final 23 points against the Yellow Jackets, after scoring the game’s first 19 points. Georgia Tech had come back after trailing 19-0 at the end of the first quarter, led by QB Tevin Washington, who rushed for three touchdowns. Miami QB Stephen Morris had a big game, passing for 436 yards on 31 of 52 passes with two touchdowns and one interception. RB Mike James and RB Duke Johnson combined for 161 yards rushing with three touchdowns. Phillip Dorsett led all receivers with nine receptions for 184 yards receiving and one touchdown. Overall, The Hurricanes offense produced 609 total yards, but did commit 8 penalties and had 2 turnovers, which helped allow the Yellow Jackets to climb back into the game. The Miami defense allowed 419 total yards, 287 came on the ground through the Yellow Jackets triple option. The defense was unable to force any turnovers, while Georgia Tech took advantage of good field position due to the Hurricanes turnovers. Miami had to deal with a great rushing attack by Georgia Tech this week and now will face a tough passing attack when they go up against NC State on Saturday.
NC State is 6-4 ATS in the last 10 games when the line is +3 to -3, 5-6 ATS in the last 11 games on the road, and 10-5 ATS in their last 15 conference games. Miami is 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games when the line is +3 to -3, 5-9 ATS in their last 14 home games, and 4-5 ATS in their last 9 games off a win against a conference rival.
NC State and Miami will wage in an ACC battle of two 3-1 teams at Sun Life Stadium on Saturday. Miami has a big leg up in ACC play, as they are 2-0 in conference play while the Wolfpack will be playing their first ACC game of the year. NC State’s run defense hasn’t been good this year, and Miami will look to pound the ball all day long against a weak front seven. Miami’s defense has been great at times, but tends to take plays off from time to time. I will side with the home team in this one and will lay the 3 points, in a game that could be a shootout if the defenses don’t step up.