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Blue Jays vs Giants Prediction 7/18/25 MLB Picks Today

San Francisco Giants (52-45) vs. Toronto Blue Jays (55-41)
July 18, 2025 7:10 pm EDT
The Line: Toronto Blue Jays -137 / San Francisco Giants 112; Over/Under: 8.5
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In this article, we will formulate a Blue Jays vs Giants prediction for this MLB game on Friday, July 18th at the Rogers Centre in Toronto, Ontario. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup. 

Toronto Blue Jays Betting Preview

The Toronto Blue Jays are 55-41 this season after they lost two out of three against the Athletics by scores of 7-6, 3-4, and 3-6. In their game three loss, Toronto cut the deficit to 6-3 in the seventh inning, but couldn’t get any closer in the loss. The Blue Jays recorded four hits, and they committed three errors in the game, while they were led by Barger, who went 1-3 with one home run and two RBIs in the loss. Toronto started Berrios, who allowed five hits and four earned runs over 3.0 innings for the loss, while Bruihl allowed one earned run in relief. 


Prior to that series, the Blue Jays won two out of three against the White Sox and all three against the Angels. Toronto has lost three of its last four games, and they are currently first in the AL East standings. The Toronto pitching staff has a 4.16 ERA with a 1.27 WHIP and a .240 opponent batting average, while their offense has scored 440 runs with a .258 batting average and a .330 on-base percentage this season. George Springer has led Toronto with 16 home runs and 53 RBIs, while Bo Bichette has added 12 home runs and 53 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Toronto is Chris Bassitt, who is 9-4 with a 4.12 ERA and a 1.35 WHIP over 107.0 innings pitched this season. 

San Francisco Giants Betting Preview

The San Francisco Giants are 52-45 this year after they lost two out of three against the Dodgers by scores of 8-7, 1-2, and 2-5. In their game three loss, San Francisco tied the game at two in the bottom of the ninth inning, but they couldn’t score in the 10th or the 11th inning for the loss. The Giants recorded five hits in the game, and they were led by Matos, who went 1-2 with one home run and two RBIs in the loss. San Francisco started Ray, who allowed three hits and two earned runs over 6.0 innings, while Bivens picked up the loss in extras. 

Prior to that series, the Giants won two out of three against the Phillies and two out of three against the Athletics. San Francisco has lost three of their last four games, and they are currently third in the NL West standings. The San Francisco pitching staff has a 3.50 ERA with a 1.25 WHIP, and a .238 opponent batting average, while the offense has scored 399 runs with a .229 batting average and a .309 on-base percentage this season. Wilmer Flores has led San Francisco with 11 home runs and 55 RBIs, while Heliot Ramos has added 14 home runs and 47 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for San Francisco is Justin Verlander, who is 0-7 with a 4.70 ERA and a 1.42 WHIP over 76.2 innings pitched this year. 

Why the Blue Jays will beat the Giants

  • The Blue Jays have won each of their last seven games at Rogers Centre.
  • The Giants have lost five of their last six night games against American League opponents that held a winning record.
  • The Blue Jays have covered the run line each of their last seven games against teams that held a winning record.
  • The Giants have failed to cover the run line each of their last seven night games against American League opponents that held a winning record.
  • The Blue Jays have won the first inning in four of their last five night games against National League opponents.
  • The Giants have trailed after 5 innings in five of their last six road games against American League opponents that held a winning record.
  • The Blue Jays have led after 3 innings in four of their last five night games against National League opponents.

Why the Giants will beat the Blue Jays

  • The Giants have won each of their last seven games as road underdogs after going to extra innings.
  • The Blue Jays have lost four of their last five games as home favorites following a road loss.
  • The Giants have covered the run line in each of their last nine games as underdogs against American League opponents following a loss.
  • The Blue Jays have failed to cover the run line in each of their last six games as favorites against National League opponents following a loss.
  • The Giants have led after 3 innings in five of their last six road games.
  • The Giants have won the first inning in each of their last five night games against AL East opponents.
  • The Giants have led after 5 innings in four of their last five road games.

Total Runs Facts

  • Each of the Giants’ last seven games as underdogs against AL East opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
  • Each of the Blue Jays’ last six games as home favorites have gone UNDER the total runs line.
  • The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Giants’ last eight night games against American League opponents.
  • The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Blue Jays’ last six games.

Toronto Blue Jays Player Prop Facts

  • Chris Bassitt has recorded six or more strikeouts in six of his last seven home appearances against NL opponents.
  • Chris Bassitt has recorded a win in five of his last six appearances in night games.
  • Bo Bichette has recorded at least one hit in each of the Blue Jays’ last 14 games as favorites.
  • Daulton Varsho has hit a home run in four of his last five appearances with the Blue Jays as favorites against NL West opponents.
  • Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has recorded a Double in four of the Blue Jays’ last five games against NL opponents.
  • Alejandro Kirk is one of only four players to hit over .300 and have 45+ RBIs this season.

San Francisco Giants Player Prop Facts

  • Rafael Devers has hit a home run in three of his last four appearances with his team as a road underdog against the Blue Jays.
  • Justin Verlander has recorded five or more strikeouts in each of his last six appearances against AL opponents that held a winning record.
  • Casey Schmitt has recorded at least one hit in each of his last nine appearances against AL East opponents that held a winning record.
  • Patrick Bailey has recorded a Double in each of the Giants’ last three games at Rogers Centre against opponents that held a winning record.
  • Justin Verlander has recorded a win in three of his last four appearances at Rogers Centre.
  • Rafael Devers ranks 9th amongst qualified players for On Base Percentage (.384) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Blue Jays rank 1st in the league for strikeouts against this season (649).
  • The Blue Jays rank T29th in the league for triples this season (4).
  • The Giants rank 2nd in the league for home runs allowed this season (84).
  • The Giants rank 28th in the league for hits this season (730).

Blue Jays vs Giants Prediction 

Both of these teams come into this series after losing three of their last four games, so they both desperately need a win. The Giants are 24-25 on the road this year, while the Blue Jays are 32-16 at home. Toronto is currently leading the AL East, and they are starting Bassitt, who has been very inconsistent. The Giants are going with Verlander, who has allowed two earned runs or fewer in two of his last three starts. Take the over here. 

David Racey's Free Pick: Over 8.5

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David Racey

David started writing about sports in 2015, but sports has been his passion for as long as he can remember. David spends most of his free time watching pretty much anything sports related from Baseball to Tennis and everything in between. David likes to analyze statistics and recent results to form an unbiased opinion on whatever game he is breaking down. Follow David on Twitter at @itsyerboi41

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