Miami Marlins (50-55) vs. St. Louis Cardinals (55-53)
July 29, 2025 7:45 pm EDT
The Line: St. Louis Cardinals -172 / Miami Marlins 140; Over/Under: 7.5
(Get latest betting odds)
In this article, we will formulate a Cardinals vs Marlins prediction for this MLB game on Tuesday, July 29, at Busch Stadium in St. Louis, Missouri. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.
Miami Marlins Betting Preview
The Miami Marlins (50-55, 26-26 Away) started the second half of the season on a high note, winning all three series. They defeated the Kansas City Royals, San Diego Padres, and Milwaukee Brewers. In Game 1 of the current series against the Cardinals, the Marlins lost 7-1. Heriberto Hernandez drove in the lone run for the offense, while Edward Cabrera took the loss after allowing two runs (one earned) on four hits with four strikeouts and three walks in 6.0 innings.
This season, the Marlins average 4.30 runs per game (19th in the MLB) on a .254/.316/.395 triple-slash. When it comes to pitching, the Marlins’ staff has a 4.44 ERA (24th) and 1.30 WHIP (21st). Kyle Stowers leads the Marlins with a .299 batting average, 23 home runs, and 63 RBI this season.
Sandy Alcantara will take the mound for the Marlins on Tuesday. The 29-year-old right-hander has a 5-9 record in 20 starts this year with a 6.66 ERA and 1.43 WHIP in 88.0 innings.
St. Louis Cardinals Betting Preview
The St. Louis Cardinals (55-53, 32-22 Home) were swept by the Arizona Diamondbacks, lost to the Colorado Rockies, and split a series with the San Diego Padres. The Cardinals opened this series against the Marlins with a 7-1 victory on Monday. Masyn Winn led the offense with three RBI, while Andre Pallante got the win after allowing no runs on one hit with four strikeouts and one walk across 7.0 innings of work.
This year, the Cardinals average 4.47 runs per game (13th in the MLB) on a .252/.321/.392 triple-slash. When it comes to pitching, the Cardinals’ staff has a 4.17 ERA (21st) and 1.28 WHIP (18th). Willson Contreras leads the Cardinals with a .259 batting average, 14 home runs, and 61 RBI this season.
The projected starting pitcher for the Cardinals is Sonny Gray, who is 10-4 in 21 starts this season, with a 4.33 ERA and 1.19 WHIP in 116.1 innings.
Total Runs Facts
- Three of the Cardinals’ last four home games against NL East opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Marlins’ last five night games at Busch Stadium.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in five of the last six night games between the Marlins and Cardinals.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Cardinals rank 28th in the league for strikeouts this season (788).
- The Cardinals rank 3rd in the league for walks allowed this season (287).
- The Marlins rank 7th in the league for strikeouts against this season (829).
- The Marlins rank 24th in the league for ERA this season (4.44).
Cardinals vs Marlins Prediction
The Cardinals won seven of the previous ten H2H encounters, and even though I am leaning toward them in this one, I will opt for Over instead. The reason for that is Sandy Alcantara and Sonny Gray’s poor form. Gray has been disastrous in July, posting an 8.34 ERA, and he surrendered 14 runs in his previous two starts. Alcantara, on the other hand, is experiencing the worst season of his career, and he could be traded by the end of the month. I don’t trust him. Back the Over.
