Orioles vs Mets Prediction 7/8/25 MLB Picks Today

In this article, we will formulate an Orioles vs Mets prediction for this MLB game on Tuesday, July 8th at Camden Yards in Baltimore, Maryland. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup. 

Baltimore Orioles Betting Preview

The Baltimore Orioles are 40-49 this season after they won all three games against Atlanta by scores of 3-2, 9-6, and 2-1. In their game three win, Baltimore scored two runs in the third inning, which was enough for the win, but they failed to score over the last six innings. The Orioles recorded six hits in the game, and they were led by Holliday, who went 4-4 with one home run and two RBIs in the win. Baltimore started Rogers, who allowed four hits and zero earned runs over 6.2 innings for the win, while Dominguez picked up the save. 

Prior to that series, the Orioles lost two out of three against the Rangers, but did win two out of three against the Rays before that. Baltimore has won five of their last seven games, and they are currently last in the AL East standings. The Baltimore pitching staff has a 4.94 ERA with a 1.42 WHIP and a .269 opponent batting average, while their offense has scored 371 runs with a .239 batting average and a .305 on-base percentage this season. Cedric Mullins has led Baltimore with 13 home runs and 41 RBIs, while Jackson Holliday has added 11 home runs and 36 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Baltimore is Brandon Young, who is 0-3 with a 7.02 ERA and a 1.98 WHIP over 16.2 innings pitched this season. 

New York Mets Betting Preview

The New York Mets are 52-39 this year after they won two out of three against the Yankees by scores of 6-5, 12-6, and 4-6. In their game three loss, New York cut the deficit to 5-4 in the sixth inning, but couldn’t find any more offense in the loss. The Mets recorded 10 hits in the game, and they were led by Lindor, who went 1-4 with two RBIs in the loss. New York started Devenski, who allowed one hit and zero earned runs over 2.0 innings, while Pop allowed three earned runs and was charged with the loss. 

Prior to that series, the Mets won two out of three against the Brewers, but lost all three against the Pirates before that. New York has won four of their last five games, and they are currently second in the NL East standings. The New York pitching staff has a 3.54 ERA with a 1.30 WHIP and a .237 opponent batting average, while the offense has scored 402 runs with a .245 batting average and a .324 on-base percentage this season. Pete Alonso has led New York with 20 home runs and 73 RBIs, while Juan Soto has added 21 home runs and 51 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for New York is Clay Holmes, who is 8-4 with a 2.99 ERA and a 1.24 WHIP over 93.1 innings pitched this year. 

Why the Mets will beat the Orioles

• The Orioles have lost each of their last eight night games against National League opponents following a win.
• The Mets have won six of their last seven night games against American League opponents following a home loss.
• The Orioles have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight night games following a road win.
• The favorites have covered the run line in each of the Mets’ last four games at Oriole Park at Camden Yards.
• The Mets have led after 3 innings in four of their last five games.
• The Orioles have trailed after 5 innings in four of their last five games as home underdogs against NL East opponents.
• The Mets have won the first inning in four of their last five games at Oriole Park at Camden Yards against American League opponents that held a losing record.

Total Runs Facts

• Each of the Mets’ last eight games against American League opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
• Seven of the Orioles’ last eight night games against NL East opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Orioles’ last nine night games at Oriole Park at Camden Yards.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Mets’ last eight night games.

Baltimore Orioles Player Prop Facts

• Jordan Westburg has hit a home run in each of his last two appearances against NL East opponents.
• Ramon Urias has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 12 home appearances against NL opponents that held a winning record.
• Ryan Mountcastle has recorded at least one Double in three of his last four appearances in night games against NL teams that held a winning record.

New York Mets Player Prop Facts

• Pete Alonso has hit at least one home run in each of the Mets’ last three games as road favorites against the Orioles.
• Nick Madrigal has recorded at least one hit in each of his last six road appearances against AL opponents that held a losing record.
• Pete Alonso has recorded a Double in three of the Mets’ last four games at Oriole Park at Camden Yards.

Orioles vs Mets Prediction 

Both of these teams were able to pick up very nice series wins over the weekend and will be looking to continue that momentum here. The Orioles are 19-22 at home this year, while the Mets are 19-25 on the road. New York is trying to catch the Phillies in the NL East, and they are starting Holmes, who has allowed two earned runs or fewer in four of his last five starts. The Orioles are going with Young, who has allowed at least three earned runs in all four of his outings. Take the Mets to get another win here.