San Francisco 49ers Vs. Seattle Seahawks 10/18/12 Mitch’s Free NFL Pick Against the Spread Free Football Picks
The San Francisco 49ers and the Seattle Seahawks battle it out on Thursday Night with first place in the NFC West going to the winner.
The San Francisco 49ers have already experienced a series of highs and lows this season and last Sunday was definitely a low as they were outright starched at home by the New York Giants. QB Alex Smith is coming off of his worst game of the year but for the season he has completed 67.7 percent of his passes with eight touchdowns and four interceptions and he has been sacked 16 times and the 49ers have also increased the role of Colin Kaepernick who has completed five of nine passes and who has rushed for 112 yards and two touchdowns. Frank Gore leads the Niners’ rushing attack averaging 5.4 yards per carry with four touchdowns and Kendall Hunter is averaging 5.5 yards per carry with a touchdown. Michael Crabtree is San Francisco’s leading receiver with 30 catches, Mario Manningham has 24 catches, and Vernon Davis has 23 catches and four touchdowns. Defensively the 49ers allow 15.7 points per game, 92.7 rushing yards, and 183.2 passing yards with four interceptions and nine sacks. NaVorro Bowman has 60 tackles, Patrick Willis has 50 tackles, and Aldon Smith has 4.5 sacks to lead the physical San Francisco defense. The 49ers egos had to be bruised against the Giants but they also had some weaknesses exposed that they will need to work on.
The Seattle Seahawks have had their backs against the wall several times this season already but they have already shown the ability to rally and pull wins out of seemingly inevitable losses. Russell Wilson has been a magician looking unspectacular at times but performing in the clutch and overall he has completed 62.5 percent of his passes for eight touchdowns and six interceptions while being sacked 12 times. Marshawn Lynch is averaging 4.3 yards per carry with two touchdowns and Robert Turbin is averaging 4.5 yards per carry. Sidney Rice is the leading Seahawk receiver with 20 catches and two touchdowns, Zach Miller has 14 catches, and Golden Tate has 13 catches with three touchdowns. The Seahawks’ defense allows 15.5 points per game, 70 rushing yards per game, and 224.7 passing yards with five interceptions and 17 sacks. K.J. Wright and Kam Chancellor have 45 tackles each, Chris Clemons has 5.5 sacks, and Richard Sherman has three interceptions. Look for Seattle to not back down for a second in what shapes up to be a physical game.
San Francisco is 4-1 against the spread in their last five home games against a team with a winning record, 19-6-2 against the spread in their last 27 games following a loss, and 5-2 against the spread in their last seven games against the NFC West. Seattle is 4-1 against the spread in their last five games against a team with a winning record, 11-5 against the spread in their last 16 games against NFC teams, and 0-4 against the spread in their last four games against the NFC West. The home team has covered in five of the last six meetings of these two.
This one sets up to be a physical game and look for points to be tough to come by. I also have a play on who will cover the spread and I will post that in the Premium Area as well as making that pick available for individual purchase.