In this article we will formulate an Atlanta Braves vs NY Mets prediction for this MLB game on Tuesday, September 24th at Truist Park in Atlanta, Georgia. Let’s take a look at the prediction for game one in the series.
Atlanta Braves Betting Preview
The Atlanta Braves are 85-71 this year and they have won four of their last five games. Atlanta is coming off of a series win against Miami, where they won two out of three games. Prior to that series, the Braves won two out of three against the Reds, split four games with the Dodgers, and split two games with the Nationals. Atlanta is 6-4 in their last 10 games and they are third in the NL East.
The Atlanta pitching staff has a 3.53 ERA, a 1.21 WHIP, and a .239 opponent batting average. The Braves offense has scored 682 runs with a .244 batting average and a .309 on-base percentage. Marcell Ozuna is batting .309 with 38 home runs and 101 RBI’s for the Braves this season.
NY Mets Betting Preview
The New York Mets are 87-69 this season and they have won two of their last three games. New York is coming off of a series win against Philadelphia, where they won three out of four games. Prior to that series, the Mets swept the Nationals, lost two out of three against the Phillies, and won two out of three against the Blue Jays. New York is 6-1 in their last seven games and they are second in the NL East.
The New York pitching staff has a 3.92 ERA, a 1.25 WHIP, and a .229 opponent batting average. The Mets’ offense has scored 750 runs with a .248 batting average and a .322 on-base percentage. Pete Alonso is batting .244 with 34 home runs and 88 RBI’s for the Mets this season.
Starting Pitchers
The projected starting pitcher for Atlanta is Spencer Schwellenbach, who is 7-7 with a 3.61 ERA and a 1.10 WHIP over 109.2 innings pitched this year. Schwellenbach has allowed two earned runs or fewer in four of his last five starts. The projected starting pitcher for New York is Luis Severino, who is 11-6 with a 3.79 ERA and a 1.22 WHIP over 178.0 innings pitched this season. Severino has allowed three earned runs in each of his last two starts, both of which came against the Phillies.
Why the Braves will beat the Mets
- The Braves have won each of their last nine night games at Truist Park following a road win.
- The Mets have lost seven of their last eight games at Truist Park following a win.
- The Braves have covered the run line in eight of their last nine night games at Truist Park following a road win.
- The Mets have failed to cover the run line in five of their last six games against the Braves following a home win.
- The Braves have led after 3 innings in each of their last four night games against the Mets at Truist Park.
Total Runs Facts
- Each of the Braves’ last 12 home games against NL East opponents has gone UNDER the total runs line.
- Five of the Mets’ last six games against NL East opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the last seven games between the Mets and Braves.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Mets’ last four games.
Atlanta Braves Player Prop Facts
- Gio Urshela has hit a home run in each of the Braves’ last two games as favorites.
- Matt Olson has recorded at least one Double in four of the Braves’ last five home games against opponents that held a winning record.
- Gio Urshela has recorded at least one RBI in each of his last six appearances after not playing the previous day.
- Sean Murphy has scored at least one run in each of his six previous appearances against the Mets after not playing the previous day.
- Michael Harris has recorded three or more total bases in each of the Braves’ last six games as favorites.
- Ozzie Albies has recorded at least one Single in 16 of his last 17 home appearances against NL East opponents.
- Ozzie Albies has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 11 home appearances against the Mets.
New York Mets Player Prop Facts
- Brandon Nimmo has hit a home run in three of the Mets’ last four night games against opponents that held a winning record.
- Brandon Nimmo has recorded at least one RBI in each of the Mets’ last five games against NL East opponents.
- Luis Severino has recorded six or more strikeouts in four of his last five appearances against NL East opponents.
- Francisco Lindor has recorded a Double in each of his last three appearances in night games against teams that held a winning record.
- Francisco Lindor has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 14 appearances against opponents that held a winning record.
- Francisco Lindor has recorded at least one total base in each of his last 14 appearances against opponents that held a winning record.
- Luis Severino has recorded a win in three of his last four appearances in night games.
- Francisco Lindor has recorded a Single in each of his last 10 appearances after not playing the previous day.
- Francisco Lindor has scored at least one run in each of his last six appearances in night games against NL East teams that held a winning record.
Atlanta Braves vs NY Mets Prediction
These two teams come into this series battling in the NL Wild Card race, but Atlanta is currently out of the playoffs, so they need to win at least two games in the series. The Braves are 42-33 at home this year, while the Mets are 41-34 on the road. New York continues to be one of the best teams in baseball over the last two months and they are starting Severino, who has been pretty solid over the last few weeks. The Braves will turn to Schwellenbach, who has also been very good recently. This is going to be a great series to watch, but I like the Braves to get off on the right foot at home. Take Atlanta here.