Cleveland Guardians vs Cincinnati Reds Prediction 9-24-24 MLB Picks
Cincinnati Reds (76-81) vs. Cleveland Guardians (90-67)
September 24, 2024 6:40 pm EDT
The Line: Cleveland Guardians -169 / Cincinnati Reds +144; Over/Under: +7.5
(Get latest betting odds)
The Cincinnati Reds and the Cleveland Guardians meet Tuesday in MLB action from Progressive Field. Here’s a Cleveland Guardians vs Cincinnati Reds prediction. This will be the first installment in a two-game series. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best Guardians vs Reds pick.
Cincinnati Reds Betting Preview
The Reds are coming off a series versus the Pittsburgh Pirates over the weekend. Cincinnati won 8-3 and 7-1 in the first two installments, then took a 2-0 shutout loss in the finale. Starter Hunter Greene managed 3.0 frames with one earned run in the eventual defeat.
For Tuesday’s starter gig, the Reds will send out Jakob Junis as a starter. This year Junis is 4-0 with a 2.61 ERA in 23 games (five starts). Junis is 42-45 with a 4.48 ERA in 191 career games (115 starts).
Cleveland Guardians Betting Preview
Over on the Guardians’ side, they played the St. Louis Cardinals over the weekend. Cleveland won 5-1 in the opener then dropped the next pair 6-5 and 2-1 for a series defeat. In Sunday’s loss, Cleveland’s only RBI came from catcher Austin Hedges.
Tanner Bibee will start for the Guardians on Tuesday. This year Bibee is 11-8 with a 3.56 ERA in 30 starts. Bibee is 21-12 with a 3.29 ERA in 55 career starts.
Total Runs Facts
- Each of the Reds’ last six road games against American League opponents has gone OVER the total runs line.
- Six of the last seven games between the Reds and Guardians have gone UNDER the total run line.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Reds’ last four games at Progressive Field.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Guardians’ last four games against National League opponents.
Cleveland Guardians Player Prop Facts
- Jose Ramirez has hit a home run in three of the Guardians’ last four games against NL Central opponents.
- Andres Gimenez has recorded an RBI in four of his last five appearances against NL Central opponents.
- Josh Naylor has scored at least one run in 11 of his last 12 home appearances after not playing the previous day.
- Myles Straw has recorded a Single in each of his last seven appearances against NL Central opponents that held a losing record.
- Lane Thomas has recorded a Double in four of the Guardians’ last five night games against opponents that held a losing record.
- Jose Ramirez has recorded at least one total base in each of the Guardians’ last 10 night games.
- Jose Ramirez has recorded at least one hit in each of the Guardians’ last 10 night games.
Cincinnati Reds Player Prop Facts
- Jeimer Candelario has scored at least one run in each of his last nine road appearances against AL Central opponents.
- TJ Friedl has recorded at least one Single in each of the Reds’ last five road games against opponents that held a winning record.
- Jeimer Candelario has recorded a Double in three of his last four road appearances against AL Central opponents.
- TJ Friedl has recorded at least one total base in each of his last 10 road appearances against AL Central opponents.
- TJ Friedl has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 10 road appearances against AL Central opponents.
- TJ Friedl has hit a home run in each of the Reds’ last two night games against AL Central opponents that held a winning record.
- Ty France has recorded an RBI in each of the Reds’ last six games against AL opponents.
Cleveland Guardians vs Cincinnati Reds Prediction
I’ll lean toward the Reds. Junis is on a nice run right now, though he doesn’t have any decisions to show for it. Over his last trio Junis has just two earned in 16.0 innings total As for Bibee, he’s given up seven earned over his last three starts in 17.2 innings total, going 0-2 in that trio.
The Reds looked pretty good in their first two games versus the Pirates, notching 15 combined runs. Cincinnati came up empty on Sunday though, so they’ll need a good offensive push in this opener in order to get a W behind Junis.