The Miami Marlins and the Baltimore Orioles meet Saturday in MLB action from Camden Yards. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s an Orioles vs Marlins Prediction.
Starting Pitching Matchup
The Miami Marlins will send out Janson Junk for the start here and is 3-1 with a 3.12 ERA and 36 strikeouts this season. This will be Junk’s first career start against Baltimore. The Baltimore Orioles will trot out Trevor Rogers for the start here, and Rogers is 2-0 with a 1.57 ERA and 24 strikeouts this season. This will be Rogers’ first career start against Miami.
Miami Marlins Recap
The Miami Marlins come into this game looking to bounce back from a 5-2 loss at the hands of the Orioles in Friday’s series opener to sit at 42-51 on the year. After this series, the Marlins will have a home series with the Royals after the All-Star break.
Marlins Lose Three In A Row
Xavier Edwards has 89 hits, including 12 doubles and a team-high 16 stolen bases, while Eric Wagaman has 78 hits with 20 doubles. Otto Lopez has 72 hits with 9 doubles and 10 home runs with 46 RBIs. Kyle Stowers has 83 hits with 13 doubles, 3 triples, 16 home runs, and 48 RBIs, but also has 96 strikeouts so far this season. Agustin Ramirez also has 14 home runs, 19 doubles, and 40 RBIs, and Jesus Sanchez has chipped in 30 RBIs as well on the year.
Why the Miami Marlins will win
- The Orioles have lost six of their last seven games as favorites against National League opponents following a win.
- The Marlins have won each of their last five Saturday games as road underdogs.
- The Marlins have covered the run line in each of their last 10 day games against American League opponents following a loss.
- The Orioles have failed to cover the run line in six of their last seven games as favorites against National League opponents following a win.
Miami Marlins Player Prop Facts
- Otto Lopez has hit a home run in each of the Marlins’ last two games against AL East opponents that held a losing record.
- Otto Lopez has recorded at least one hit in each of his eight previous appearances in day games against AL teams that held a losing record.
Baltimore Orioles Recap
The Baltimore Orioles come into this game looking to add on to their win over Miami from Friday’s opener to sit at 43-50 this season. After this series, the Orioles will take on the Tampa Bay Rays in a road series following the All-Star break.
Orioles Win 3 Straight & 6 Of Last 7
Cedric Mullins has 58 hits so far this season, as well as 14 doubles, 13 home runs, and 41 RBIs with 13 stolen bases and a .216 batting average, while Adley Rutschman has 55 hits with 9 doubles, 8 homers, and 20 RBIs. Jackson Holliday has 88 hits with 14 doubles, 2 triples, 12 homers, and 38 RBIs. Ryan Mountcastle has 46 hits with 13 doubles, 2 homers, and 15 RBIs, and Gunnar Henderson has a team-high 89 strikeouts as well this season. Ryan O’Hearn also chipped in 77 hits with 14 doubles and 11 home runs with 34 RBIs, and Heston Kjerstad added 4 homers and 19 RBIs.
Why the Baltimore Orioles will win
- The Orioles have won seven of their last eight day games against teams that held a losing record.
- The Marlins have lost each of their last five games at Oriole Park at Camden Yards.
- The Orioles have covered the run line in each of their last eight games against NL East opponents following a win.
- The Marlins have failed to cover the run line in each of their last three games.
Baltimore Orioles Player Prop Facts
- Jordan Westburg has hit a home run in each of his last two appearances in day games against teams that held a losing record.
- Trevor Rogers has recorded five or more strikeouts in three of his last four appearances against NL East opponents.
- Ramon Laureano has recorded at least one Double in each of the Orioles’ last three games as favorites.
- Ryan Mountcastle has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 15 appearances in day games against teams that held a losing record.
- Ryan O’Hearn ranks 10th amongst qualified players for On Base Percentage (.382) this season.
Total Runs Facts
- Eight of the Marlins’ last nine games against American League opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- Five of the Orioles’ last six games as favorites against the Marlins have gone OVER the total runs line.
Orioles vs Marlins Prediction
I’m backing the Orioles in this one. Trevor Rogers gets a crack at his former team, so you have to think he’ll be amped for this one, and the luster is starting to wear off of Miami after their winning run over the last couple of weeks. Baltimore’s doing a good job of digging itself out of the hole it put itself in earlier this season, and I think they take another step towards .500 here. Give me the Orioles.