Royals vs Mets Prediction 7-12-25 MLB Picks

The New York Mets and the Kansas City Royals meet Saturday in MLB action from Kauffman Stadium. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Royals vs Mets Prediction.

Starting Pitching Matchup

The New York Mets will send out Frankie Montas for the start here, and Montas is 1-1 with a 6.14 ERA and 12 strikeouts this season. In his last five starts against the Royals, Montas is 2-2 with a 3.26 ERA and 23 strikeouts. Michael Lorenzen will get the start for the Royals here and is 5-8 with a 4.61 ERA and 85 strikeouts this season. In his career, Lorenzen is 2-0 with a 2.16 ERA and 12 strikeouts against the Mets.

New York Mets Recap

The New York Mets come into this game looking to build on their 8-3 win over the Royals from Friday’s matchup to improve to 54-41 on the year. After this series, the Mets will head home for a series against the Reds following the All-Star break.

Mets Snap Two-Game Slide

Pete Alonso has 100 hits with 25 doubles, 21 home runs, 77 RBIs, and a .281 batting average, while Juan Soto has 88 hits with 15 doubles, 22 home runs, and 54 RBIs on the year. Francisco Lindor has 98 hits with 14 stolen bases along with 18 doubles, 19 home runs, and 54 RBIs, while Mark Vientos has 6 home runs and 24 RBIs, but also has 62 strikeouts so far this season. Brandon Nimmo has also added 89 hits with 17 doubles and 18 home runs, and 53 RBIs this season. Luis Torrens has also chipped in 9 doubles, and Luisangel Acuna has 11 stolen bases as well this season.

Why the New York Mets will win

• The Royals have lost 10 of their last 11 home games against teams that held a winning record.
• The Mets have won four of their last five games after playing the previous day.
• The Mets have covered the run line in six of their last seven road games against AL Central opponents that held a losing record.
• The Royals have failed to cover the run line in four of their last five games at Kauffman Stadium.

New York Mets Player Prop Facts

• Juan Soto ranks 3rd amongst qualified players for On Base Percentage (.399) this season.

Kansas City Royals Recap

The Kansas City Royals come into this game looking to bounce back from their loss at the hands of the Mets last time out to sit at 46-49 on the year. After this series, the Royals will head on the road for a series against the Miami Marlins following the All-Star break.

Royals Have Four-Game Win Streak Snapped

Bobby Witt Jr. has 111 hits with 32 doubles and 25 stolen bases, along with 3 triples, 14 home runs, and 54 RBIs, while Vinnie Pasquantino has 99 hits with 14 doubles, a triple, 15 home runs, and 56 RBIs. Maikel Garcia added 103 hits with 24 doubles, 3 triples, 8 home runs, 40 RBIs, and 18 stolen bases, and Salvador Perez also has 13 home runs and 54 RBIs, but also has 75 strikeouts so far this season.

Why the Kansas City Royals will win

• The Mets have lost each of their last four games as road favorites against American League opponents following a win.
• The Royals have won five of their last six games as underdogs against National League opponents following a home loss.
• The Royals have covered the run line in each of their last 14 games as underdogs against National League opponents following a loss.
• The Mets have failed to cover the run line in each of their last 13 Saturday day games as favorites against American League opponents.

Kansas City Royals Player Prop Facts

• Bobby Witt Jr. ranks 4th in the league in Hits (109) this season.

Total Runs Facts

• Each of the Mets’ last seven day games after playing the previous day have gone OVER the total runs line.
• Nine of the Royals’ last 10 day games after playing the previous day have gone UNDER the total runs line.

Royals vs Mets Prediction

I’m on the over here. You have two starting pitchers I don’t trust whatsoever, as Montas struggled through his minor league starts. Lorenzen has really started to regress against two lineups in the Royals and Mets that have been able to hold their own against right-handed pitching for much of the season. I think we’re in line for another high-scoring game here, so give me the over in this one.