The Seattle Mariners are visiting the Arizona Diamondbacks on Tuesday, June 10th at the Chase Field in the second game of this series, with the Diamondbacks having a 1-0 lead. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Mariners vs Diamondbacks Prediction. We will examine:
The Arizona Diamondbacks’ recent form and player performance
The Seattle Mariners’ recent form and player performance
Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Arizona Diamondbacks
Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Seattle Mariners
Recent betting trends in games played between the Seattle Mariners vs Arizona Diamondbacks
A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for the Seattle Mariners vs Arizona Diamondbacks game
Arizona Diamondbacks Preview
The Arizona Diamondbacks have a 32-34 record this season and are sitting in 4th place in the NL West. The Diamondbacks have a 16-17 home record and are 30-31 in over/under. They are coming off an 8-4 home victory over the Mariners, which ended their previous three-game losing streak. Over is 7-4 in their last 11 games, and they are playing the Padres and the Blue Jays next.
The Diamondbacks have a .252 batting average this season, a .331 OBP, and a .443 slugging percentage. Arizona’s pitching staff has a 4.83 ERA and 1.34 WHIP. Josh Naylor leads the Diamondbacks with 71 hits, and he is the team’s best hitter with a .290 batting average. Eugenio Suarez leads the team in RBI, with 48, while Corbin Carroll adds a team-high 19 home runs.
Brandon Pfaadt (R) is the projected starting pitcher for the Diamondbacks, and he has a 7-4 record, 5.51 ERA, and 1.36 WHIP. He has been better at home, with a 4.15 ERA across six home starts, but he has been absolutely shelled in his last two starts, with 13 earned runs in just 3 innings of work. Brandon Pfaadt with an ERA of 3.86 and 14 strikeouts in 2 appearances against the Mariners in his career.
Seattle Mariners Preview
The Seattle Mariners have a 33-32 record this season and are sitting in second place in the AL West. The Mariners have a 17-15 road record and 34-27 in over/under. They are coming off a 4-8 road defeat by the Dbacks, and are 1-6 in their last 7 games. Under is 4-2-1 in their last 7 games, and they are playing the Red Sox and the Guardians next.
The Mariners have a .240 batting average this season, .319 OBP, and .393 Slugging percentage. Seattle’s pitching staff has a 3.93 ERA and 1.32 WHIP. Julio Rodriguez leads the Mariners in hits with 66, while Cal Raleigh leads the team both in RBI with 53 and in home runs with 26. J.P. Crawford is the team’s best hitter with a .285 batting average.
Bryan Woo (R) is the projected starting pitcher for the Mariners, and he has a 5-3 record, 3.07 ERA, and 0.96 WHIP. He has been weaker on the road with a 3.45 ERA across seven road starts, and he has been struggling lately, having lost his last three starts, and having 7 earned runs in 12.2 innings of work in his last two starts. In his only previous start against the Dbacks in his career back in 2023, he gave up 3 runs in 5 innings of work.
Why the Arizona Diamondbacks will win
- The Mariners have lost each of their last seven night games after playing the previous day.
- The underdogs have won six of the Diamondbacks’ last seven games.
- The Mariners have failed to cover the run line in each of their last 13 games as favorites after playing the previous day.
- The underdogs have covered the run line in 11 of the Mariners’ last 12 games.
- The Diamondbacks have led after 3 innings in each of their last five games against AL West opponents.
- The Diamondbacks have led after 5 innings in each of their last six games against American League opponents.
- The Diamondbacks have won the first inning in four of their last five games against American League opponents.
Why the Seattle Mariners will win
- The Diamondbacks have lost each of their last nine night games at Chase Field following a home win.
- The Mariners have won nine of their last 10 night games against NL West opponents that held a losing record.
- The Diamondbacks have failed to cover the run line in each of their last 11 night games at Chase Field following a home win.
- The Mariners have covered the run line in nine of their last 10 night games against NL West opponents that held a losing record.
- The Mariners have led after 3 innings in six of their last seven games as road favorites against NL West opponents.
- The Diamondbacks have trailed after 5 innings in seven of their last eight games as underdogs against AL West opponents.
- The Mariners have won the first inning in each of their last three games as road favorites against National League opponents.
Total Runs Facts
- Each of the Mariners’ last six games as favorites against National League opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
- Eight of the Diamondbacks’ last nine home games following an extra innings win have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Mariners’ last six games as favorites against NL West opponents.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in eight of the Diamondbacks’ last nine games as underdogs against AL West opponents.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Diamondbacks rank 2nd in the league for doubles this season (123).
- The Diamondbacks rank 3rd in the league for slugging percentage this season (.443).
- The Mariners rank 29th in the league for doubles this season (81).
- The Mariners are one of only three teams in the league to rank top 10 in both steals and home runs this season.
Mariners vs Diamondbacks Prediction
The Mariners are 3-2 in their last 5 meetings against the Dbacks, and 3-2 in their last 5 visits to Arizona. Under is 6-1 in their last 7 meetings.
In this Mariners vs Diamondbacks Prediction, the Mariners are coming as -115 road favorites. Both teams have almost identical overall records and almost identical home/away splits. The Mariners have the pitching advantage, as Pfaadt has been a dumpster fire lately, but Woo is on a slump lately, and he is weaker on the road. The Dbacks have the 4th-worst bullpen in the league, and both teams are better against righties, averaging 9.8 runs combined against right-handed pitching. Yesterday’s game had 12 total runs, and I expect more of the same today. Take the over 8.5 runs in this one.