Red Sox vs Rays Prediction 6/10/25 MLB Picks Today

The Tampa Bay Rays and the Boston Red Sox meet Tuesday in MLB action from Fenway Park. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Red Sox vs Rays Prediction.

Starting Pitching Matchup

The Tampa Bay Rays will start Ryan Pepiot here, and Pepiot is 3-5 with a 3.20 ERA and 64 strikeouts this season. In his career, Pepiot is 0-2 with a 4.95 ERA and 28 strikeouts against the Red Sox. Lucas Giolito will get the start for the Red Sox here and is 1-1 with a 6.42 ERA and 27 strikeouts this season. In his last five starts against the Rays, Giolito is 1-1 with a 3.58 ERA and 29 strikeouts.

Tampa Bay Rays Recap

The Tampa Bay Rays come into this game looking to build on their 10-8 win over the Red Sox from Monday’s series opener to improve to 36-30 on the year. After this series, the Rays will head on the road for a series against the New York Mets.

Rays Win 6 Of Their Last 7

Jonathan Aranda has 64 hits with a team-high 12 doubles, 7 home runs, and 36 RBIs. Brandon Lowe has 57 hits with 13 homers and 36 RBIs as well, while Junior Caminero has 62 hits with 15 doubles, a team-high 15 home runs, and 41 RBIs. Yandy Diaz has 62 hits with 13 doubles, 9 homers, and 36 RBIs, and Kameron Misner has 38 hits with 9 doubles, 5 homers, and 18 RBIs as well, while Christopher Morel has 54 strikeouts while Lowe has 66 strikeouts, and Misner has 57 K’s as well this season. Jose Caballero has 23 stolen bases, while Taylor Walls has 7 stolen bases, and Chandler Simpson has 19 stolen bases as well this season.

Why the Tampa Bay Rays will win

• The Rays have won each of their last 10 games as favorites against American League opponents.
• The Red Sox have lost five of their last six games at Fenway Park.
• The Red Sox have failed to cover the run line in each of their last eight night games against the Rays at Fenway Park following a home loss.
• The Rays have covered the run line in each of their last eight night games against the Red Sox at Fenway Park following a win.

Tampa Bay Rays Player Prop Facts

• Brandon Lowe has hit at least one home run in three of the Rays’ last five games against AL East opponents.
• Josh Lowe has recorded at least one RBI in each of the Rays’ last six games as road favorites against the Red Sox.
• Brandon Lowe has scored at least one run in each of the Rays’ last five games against AL East opponents.
• Brandon Lowe has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 11 appearances in night games.
• Yandy Diaz has recorded at least one Single in each of his last 11 appearances in night games against teams that held a losing record.
• Jose Caballero ranks T1st in the league in Steals (23) this season.

Boston Red Sox Recap

The Boston Red Sox will be out to bounce back from their loss to the Rays in Monday’s series opener to sit at 32-36 on the year. After this series, the Red Sox will take on the New York Yankees in a rivalry series at home.

Red Sox Split Last Ten Games

Alex Bregman has 59 hits, including a team-high 17 doubles, along with 11 home runs and 35 RBIs, while Rafael Devers has added 71 hits with 18 doubles, 14 home runs and 57 RBIs this season. Trevor Story added 57 hits with 8 home runs, 33 RBIs, and 10 stolen bases, while Jarren Duran has 79 hits with 18 doubles, 7 triples, 4 home runs, 37 RBIs, and a team-high 13 stolen bases. Kristian Campbell added 49 hits with 9 doubles, 6 homers, and 21 RBIs while Wilyer Abreu has 13 home runs with 32 RBIs and 4 stolen bases, and Ceddanne Rafaela has 6 homers, 2 triples, 25 RBIs, and 9 stolen bases this season.

Why the Boston Red Sox will win

• The Rays have lost each of their last six games following a road win.
• The Red Sox have won four of their last five games as underdogs against AL East opponents following a loss.
• The Red Sox have covered the run line in each of their last six games as underdogs following an extra innings loss.
• The Rays have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight games as favorites against American League opponents following a road win.

Boston Red Sox Player Prop Facts

• Ceddanne Rafaela has hit a home run in three of the Red Sox’s last four home games against AL opponents.
• Abraham Toro has recorded an RBI in each of the Red Sox’s last four home games against AL East opponents.
• Lucas Giolito has recorded six or more strikeouts in 12 of his 15 previous appearances in night games against AL East teams that held a winning record.
• Rafael Devers has scored at least one run in seven of the Red Sox’s last eight games as home underdogs against AL East opponents.
• Abraham Toro has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 11 appearances against AL opponents that held a winning record.
• Abraham Toro has recorded at least one Double in four of his last five appearances against opponents that held a winning record.
• Rafael Devers has recorded at least one Single in nine of his last 10 appearances with the Red Sox as home underdogs against AL opponents.
• Jarren Duran ranks T3rd in the league in Hits (79) this season.

Total Runs Facts

• Each of the Red Sox’s last seven games as underdogs against American League opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
• Six of the Rays’ last seven games after going to extra innings have gone UNDER the total runs line.

Red Sox vs Rays Prediction

I’m on the Rays in this one. I get the case to be made for the Red Sox at Fenway, but not when Lucas Giolito’s on the mound, as Giolito’s really had some struggles pitching at home this season. The Rays have been finding ways to deliver as of late and have the edge across the board in my opinion, from the starters, to the bullpen, and the current form of the lineup. Give me the Rays here.