In this article, we will formulate a Yankees vs Blue Jays prediction for this MLB game on Saturday, April 26, at Yankee Stadium in Bronx, New York. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.
Toronto Blue Jays Betting Preview
The Toronto Blue Jays (13-13, 5-8 Away) went through their worst stretch of the season, during which they lost five consecutive games, but managed to avoid the sixth loss in a row with a 4-2 win over the Yankees in Game 1 of this series. Prior to this series, the Blue Jays were swept by the Astros and lost to the Mariners. Alejandro Kirk led the offense in a 4-2 win in New York with two RBI, while Jose Berrios pitched for 5.1 innings in a no-decision, allowing no runs on five hits with four strikeouts and two walks. Mason Fluharty was credited wth the win.
This year, the Blue Jays average 3.54 runs per game (26th in the MLB) on a .242/.314/.348 triple-slash. When it comes to pitching, the Blue Jays’ staff has a 3.73 ERA (11th) and 1.18 WHIP (8th). Bo Bichette leads the Blue Jays with a .292 batting average, no home runs, and 13 RBI this season.
Kevin Gausman will take the mound for the Blue Jays on Saturday. The 34-year-old right-hander has a 2-2 record in five starts this year with a 3.16 ERA and 0.86 WHIP in 31.1 innings.
New York Yankees Betting Preview
The New York Yankees (15-11, 8-5 Home) returned to the Big Apple after two road series during which they beat the Tampa Bay Rays and lost to the Cleveland Guardians. The Yankees had a 2-1 lead entering the 9th inning in Game 1 against the Blue Jays, but the visitors scored three runs and stole the win. Carlos Carrasco pitched for 5.0 innings in a no-decision, allowing no runs on three hits with two strikeouts and two walks. Devin Williams took the loss.
This season, the Yankees average 5.35 runs per game (2nd in the MLB) on a .259/.345/.459 slash line. Regarding pitching, the Yankees’ staff has a 3.87 ERA (14th) and 1.20 WHIP (10th). Aaron Judge leads the Yankees with a .408 batting average, seven home runs, and 26 RBI this season.
The projected starting pitcher for the Yankees is Max Fried, who is 4-0 in five starts this season, with a 1.42 ERA and 1.01 WHIP in 31.2 innings.
Total Runs Facts
- Sixteen of the Blue Jays’ last 18 road games have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- Seven of the Yankees’ last eight games as favorites against American League opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Yankees’ last five day games.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Blue Jays’ last four day games against American League opponents.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Yankees rank 1st in the league for hits allowed this season (169).
- The Yankees rank 2nd in the league for runs scored this season (139).
- The Blue Jays rank 4th in the league for strikeouts this season (242).
- The Blue Jays rank 26th in the league for slugging percentage this season (.348).
Yankees vs Blue Jays Prediction
The teams have traded victories over the past couple of years, as each recorded five in the previous ten H2H encounters. Despite eight of the last ten games going Over, I expect a low-scoring affair here because Toronto is 9-17 Over/Under this year, while the Yankees are 2-7-1 Over/Under in the last ten games. Max Fried is one of the most serious Cy Young Award candidates early in the season; he didn’t allow more than two runs in a game, and I am backing him for another quality start against low-scoring Toronto. Kevin Gausman allowed a .235 BA in 153 at-bats against the Yankees, so he shouldn’t have a lot of problems on Saturday. Go with Under.