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Portland Trail Blazers vs. Indiana Pacers - 12/2/13

Indiana Pacers (16-1) at Portland Trail Blazers (14-3)

NBA Basketball: Monday, December 2, 2013 at 10:00 pm (Rose Garden)

The Line: Portland Trail Blazers +1 -- Over/Under: 190.5 See the Latest Odds

TV:

The Portland Trail Blazers collide with the league-leading Indiana Pacers on Monday night from the Rose Garden.

Head to head, the Pacers are 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings and 6-2 ATS in the last 8 meetings in Portland while the home team is 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings and the favorite is 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings. The Trail Blazers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 road games, 4-0 ATS in their last 4 vs. Western Conference and 23-9 ATS in their last 32 games overall. The Trail Blazers on the other hand are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games playing on 0 days rest and 12-3-1 ATS in their last 16 vs. Eastern Conference, but just 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.

As far as picking a side goes, this one could go either way. The Portland Trail Blazers and Indiana Pacers have combined to win 30 of their 34 games this season, with Indiana leading the league with a 16-1 record. The Pacers have won seven of their eight road games to date, but the Trail Blazers are 6-1 at the Rose Garden thus far, so something has to give. You could make a compelling case for either team, so I'm going to look at the total instead.

Under's have dominated Indiana's games this season, hitting in 12 of their 17, but I'm going in the other way in this one. It's not like the Pacers are a bad offensive team, they are just that damn good defensvily that they don't need to be. Indiana has scored over 97 points in each of their last seven games and they are coming off a 105-100 win over the Los Angeles Clippers last night, a team that likes to get up and down like the Trail Blazers. The Pacers are also scoring more away from home, averaging two more points on the road than at home.

Portland's early season success can be attributed to their high octane offense, which is pouring in nearly 105 points per game, ranking fifth in the entire league. The Trail Blazers also rank in the top ten in rebounds and assists per game. After being held to under 100 points on two-straight occasions , Portland has been on fire on the offensive end ever since as they have averaged 109 over their last four contests.

While Indiana could turn this into a defensive slog, I just don't see it. They showed last night that they can hang with some of the better offensive teams out there and I don't see them having any trouble scoring against Portland's average defense, even though their numbers say otherwise...

Dan’s Pick: Over 190.5

Follow me on Twitter @Dan_SCP

Portland Trail Blazers vs. Indiana Pacers - 12/2/13

Steve Dykes-USA TODAY Sports

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