Hawks vs Rockets Prediction 1/29/26 NBA Picks Today
Houston Rockets (28-16) vs. Atlanta Hawks (24-25)
January 29, 2026 8:00 pm EDT
The Line: Atlanta Hawks +3.5; Over/Under: 225.5
(Get latest betting odds)
The Houston Rockets and Atlanta Hawks meet Thursday in NBA action at the State Farm Arena. Here’s a Hawks vs Rockets Prediction. This article will include a Hawks vs Rockets Pick.
Houston Rockets Betting Preview
The Houston Rockets beat the Grizzlies, lost to the Spurs, and they play the Mavs next. The Rockets have won 6 of their last 9 games.
The Houston Rockets are averaging 116.9 points on 47.9 percent shooting and allowing 110.8 points on 46.3 percent shooting. Kevin Durant is averaging 26.3 points and 5.5 rebounds, while Alperen Sengun is averaging 21.2 points and 9 rebounds. Amen Thompson is the third double-digit scorer, and Jabari Smith Jr. is grabbing 6.9 rebounds. The Houston Rockets are shooting 36.9 percent from beyond the arc and 75.1 percent from the free-throw line. The Houston Rockets are allowing 34.9 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 47.9 rebounds per game.
Atlanta Hawks Betting Preview
The Atlanta Hawks beat the Pacers and Celtics, and they play the Pacers next. The Hawks have won 4 straight games.
The Atlanta Hawks are averaging 117.5 points on 47.5 percent shooting and allowing 118.7 points on 47.7 percent shooting. Jalen Johnson is averaging 23.2 points and 10.5 rebounds, while Nickeil Alexander-Walker is averaging 20.3 points and 3.5 rebounds. CJ McCollum is the third double-digit scorer, and Kirstaps Porzingis is grabbing 5.1 rebounds. The Atlanta Hawks are shooting 37 percent from beyond the arc and 77.4 percent from the free-throw line. The Atlanta Hawks are allowing 35.7 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 42.1 rebounds per game.
Why the Atlanta Hawks will win
- The Rockets have lost each of their last five games as road favorites.
- The underdogs have won four of the Hawks’ last five games.
- The Rockets have failed to cover the spread in each of their last seven games against teams that held a losing record.
- The home team has covered the spread in each of the Rockets’ last five games with both teams on the second leg of a back-to-back.
Why the Houston Rockets will win
- The Rockets have won each of their last 11 games against Southeast Division opponents that held a losing record.
- The Hawks have lost each of their last seven home games against Southwest Division opponents that held a winning record.
- The Rockets have covered the spread in each of their last six games as road favorites following a home loss.
- The Hawks have failed to cover the spread in each of their last seven Thursday games as underdogs.
Total Points Facts
- Each of the Hawks’ last seven games with both teams on the second leg of a back-to-back have gone UNDER the total points line.
- Eight of the Rockets’ last nine road games against opponents who are on the second leg of a back-to-back have gone OVER the total points line.
Atlanta Hawks Player Facts
- Luke Kennard ranks 1st amongst qualified players for 3P% (48.9%) this season.
- Jalen Johnson is the only qualified player in the league averaging at least 20.0 points, 10.0 rebounds and 5.0 assists this season.
Houston Rockets Player Facts
- Alperen Sengun ranks 1st amongst qualified players for points in the paint per game (14.1) this season.
- Amen Thompson ranks 2nd in the league for points in the paint (568) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Hawks rank 1st in the league for assists per game this season (31.0).
- The Hawks have recorded the largest comeback win from a Q3 deficit this season – trailed by 18 points @ Suns on November 16.
- The Rockets rank 1st in the league for rebounds per game this season (48.9).
- The Rockets rank 1st in the league for opponent rebounds per game this season (39.1).
Hawks vs Rockets Injury Report
The Hawks will be without N’Faly Dante, Zaccharie Risacher, and Kristaps Porzingis. Onyeka Okongwu is questionable.
The Rockets will be without Fred VanVleet and Steven Adams.
Hawks vs Rockets Prediction
Both teams on the end of a back to back, the Rockets are going to get the edge in terms of talent. However, the Rockets continue to be hit or miss, and now they’re on the road where 13 of their 17 losses have come. The Hawks have quietly won 4 straight games and just upset the Celtics on the road. You can argue the Hawks have played the better basketball this week. This is also a letdown spot for the Rockets after playing a big game against the Spurs, coming up short or not. The underdog has covered 5 of the last 8 games between the Hawks and Rockets. I’ll grab the points with the Hawks.