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Utah Jazz vs. Dallas Mavericks - 3/12/14

Dallas Mavericks (38-27) at Utah Jazz (22-42)

NBA Basketball: Wednesday, March 12, 2014 at 9:00 pm (EnergySolutions Arena)

The Line: Utah Jazz +5 -- Over/Under: 202.5 See the Latest Odds


The Utah Jazz collide with the visiting Dallas Mavericks on Wednesday night from EnergySolutions Arena.

Head to head, the Mavericks are 1-4 ATS in the last 5 meetings and 5-14-1 ATS in the last 20 meetings in Utah while the home team is 28-12-1 ATS in the last 41 meetings. The Jazz are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games vs. a team with a winning S.U. record and 11-5 ATS in the last 16 vs. NBA Southwest, but just 5-11-2 ATS in their last 18 games following a ATS win. The Mavericks on the other hand are 24-7 ATS in their last 31 games following a SU loss of more than 10 points, 37-18 ATS in their last 55 games vs. a team with a losing S.U. record and 41-18 ATS in their last 59 road games.

Utah Jazz vs. Dallas Mavericks - 3/12/14

Jerome Miron-USA TODAY Sports

One thing I’ve noticed about the Utah Jazz this season is that their offense is so much better when playing on their home court , which is the case for most teams in the NBA, but especially the Jazz. Let’s just look at their results since the first of February shall we. In their 10 road games since that period they are averaging just 89.2 points per contest, compared to their average at home which is 101.2 over the span of eight games. That’s a 12-point swing. In their last six games at EnergySolutions Arena, they are pouring in a shade over 106 points per contest and as a result, the over has hit in five of those matches.

While the Dallas Mavericks struggled big time last night in Golden State, scoring a measly 85 points on just 36 percent shooting, that was a one off more than anything else. See, in their previous 10 games, they had averaged 107.6 points per game and had scored 110 or greater in four of those contests. As a result, the over had hit in seven of those 10 games. After scoring just 85 against the Warriors last night, you can bet they will want a strong offensive showing tonight.

There you have it. We have established that the Jazz are actually a pretty potent offensive team when playing at home and to be honest I really don’t think it matters where Dallas play, just look at their super impressive road numbers against the spread. While Utah has only put up 93 and 81 points against the Mavs this season, both games were in Dallas. I think this is one of the strongest plays on the board tonight, if not the strongest.

Dan’s Pick: Over 202

Follow me on Twitter @Dan_SCP


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