Mavericks vs Jazz Prediction 11/6/26 NBA Picks Today

Mavericks vs Jazz Prediction

The Mavericks have looked sharp over the last week or so, and that includes taking the Spurs down to the wire as 12.5-point underdogs. The Jazz are improved roster-wise from last season, but clearly that’s not enough as they’re 1-7 SU and ATS. The Jazz have zero betting value in their current form, and they’re below average at both ends of the ball.

There’s really only one way to go in this spot, and that’s to lay the points with the Mavs. The Jazz are 26th in points per game, field goal percentage, and three-point percentage. The lack of covers, even as an underdog, makes them an automatic fade. Give me the Mavs in a comfortable home victory on Friday night.

Utah Jazz Betting Preview

The Utah Jazz lost to the Spurs and Pelicans, and they play the Timberwolves next. The Jazz have lost 22 of their last 25 games.

The Utah Jazz are averaging 107.8 points on 42.9 percent shooting and allowing 119 points on 45.5 percent shooting. Keyonte George is averaging 22 points and 4 rebounds, while Lauri Markkanen is averaging 17.1 points and 6.6 rebounds. Jaren Jackson Jr. is the third double-digit scorer, and Darryn Peterson is dishing 3.8 assists. The Utah Jazz are shooting 31.5 percent from beyond the arc and 75.8 percent from the free-throw line. The Utah Jazz are allowing 36.3 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 46.6 rebounds per game.

Dallas Mavericks Betting Preview

The Dallas Mavericks lost to the Kings and Spurs, and they play the Nets next. The Mavs have won 3 of their last 5 games.

The Dallas Mavericks are averaging 112.3 points on 47 percent shooting and allowing 112.3 points on 45.4 percent shooting. Cooper Flagg is averaging 24.3 points and 6.4 assists, while Kyrie Irving is averaging 22.7 points and 4 rebounds. P.J. Washington is the third double-digit scorer, and Naji Marshall is grabbing 3.4 rebounds. The Dallas Mavericks are shooting 33.7 percent from beyond the arc and 77 percent from the free-throw line. The Dallas Mavericks are allowing 29.9 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 43.4 rebounds per game.

Why the Dallas Mavericks will win

• The Jazz have lost each of their last 21 road games against Western Conference opponents.
• The Mavericks have won each of their last 11 night games against the Jazz at American Airlines Center.
• The Jazz have failed to cover the spread in each of their last eight road games.
• The home team has covered the spread in each of the last four games between the Jazz and Mavericks.

Why the Utah Jazz will win

• The underdogs have won four of the Mavericks’ last five games.
• The Mavericks have lost each of their last three games as home favorites against Western Conference opponents.
• The underdogs have covered the spread in each of the Mavericks’ last five games.
• The Mavericks have failed to cover the spread in 14 of their last 17 games as favorites against Western Conference opponents.

Total Points Facts

• Seven of the Jazz’s last eight night games have gone UNDER the total points line.
• Each of the Mavericks’ last four home games against Northwest Division opponents have gone UNDER the total points line.

Dallas Mavericks Player Facts

• Daniel Gafford ranks 3rd amongst qualified players for FG% (67.4%) this season.
• Cooper Flagg ranks T7th amongst qualified players for steals per game (2.1) this season.

Utah Jazz Player Facts

• Lauri Markkanen ranks 1st amongst qualified Centers for three-pointers made per game (3.0) this season.
• Jaxson Hayes is one of only three players in the league to have recorded 6+ blocks in a game this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Mavericks rank 1st in the league for opponent three-point percentage this season (29.9%).
• Seven different Mavericks players have scored 20+ points in a game this season- the most in the league.
• The Jazz rank 30th in the league for opponent free throws made per game this season (26.4).
• The Jazz rank 30th for fast break points (69) this season.