Oklahoma City Thunder vs. San Antonio Spurs - 5/27/14
San Antonio Spurs (62-20) at Oklahoma City Thunder (59-23)
NBA Basketball: Tuesday, May 27, 2014 at 9:00 pm (Chesapeake Energy Arena)
The Line: Oklahoma City Thunder -2.5 -- Over/Under: 207.5 See the Latest Odds
The Oklahoma City Thunder look to even the series in Game 4 against the San Antonio Spurs on Tuesday night.
Head to head, the Spurs are 3-11-1 ATS in the last 15 meetings and Spurs are 0-8 ATS in the last 8 meetings in Oklahoma City while the home team is 12-3-1 ATS in the last 16 meetings and the favorite is 12-3-1 ATS in the last 16 meetings. The 15-3 ATS in their last 18 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600 and 5-2 ATS in their last 7 Conference Finals games. The Spurs on the other hand are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 Conference Finals games and 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games overall, but just 1-6 ATS in their last 7 road games.
Did Game 3's result really surprise anyone? Especially with the early return of Serge Ibaka. Despite reports that Ibaka would miss the rest of the playoffs with calf problems, he returned to the court on Sunday night to spark the Oklahoma City Thunder to a much needed 106-97 victory over the San Antonio Spurs. OKC's premier big man finished with 15 points on 6-7 shooting while blocking four shots in just 30 minutes of action while Russell Westbrook and Kevin Durant combined for 51 points in their comfortable win over a Spurs team that blew them out in Games 1 & 2.
You would of been pretty hard pressed to predict that Game 3 would of been a blowout (even though the final magin was just 11 points) given how Games 1 & 2 were decided. But it makes total sense given the situation - OKC being embarassed in the first two games - Serge returning to give the team a massive boost - playing in front of their home crowd for the first time in this series. It all makes sense.
While you would expect the Spurs to re-group in Game 4, there are some concerns for them considering they were swept by OKC in the regular season (with Ibaka in the lineup) and the fact that they haven't covered the spread in their last eight meetings in Oklahoma City.
If I had to pick a side, I would probably take the Thunder laying the points, but I think the over holds more value. Forget Games 1 & 2 without Ibaka and Game 3 only fell short of tonight's total of 207.5 because OKC blew things away in the second half. I expect a more tight battle this time around, with plenty of points scored...
Dan’s Pick: Over 207.5
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