Uruguay vs. Paraguay 6/3/21 South American World Cup Qualifications Soccer Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Uruguay vs. Paraguay
June 3, 2021 6:00 pm EDT
The Line: Over 2.5 +107, Under 2.5 -138
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Uruguay is welcoming Paraguay to Estadio Centenario in round 7 of the South American World Cup Qualifications.
Uruguay is one of the best teams in South America, but they haven’t been at their best so far in these qualifications. Uruguay has 2 wins and 2 losses, but they are in the World Cup spot in the standings, in 5th place with 6 points, 7 scored goals, and 7 conceded goals. Suarez is the leading goalscorer for Uruguay with 4 goals so far, and he is expected to be in the starting lineup here as well. Uruguay was playing against Brazil in their latest game, and they have had 41% of ball possession, 0 shots on goal, 6 corner kicks, 0 big chances created, and 76% of the correct passes. This was a terrible game for Uruguay, on both ends, and in addition to losing this game 0-2, Uruguay has conceded a red card, and because of that, Cavani will miss this game. Even without Cavani, Uruguay is still a fantastic team with some strong players, especially in the midfield and the defensive end. I believe Uruguay will qualify for the world cup, but they will need to be a bit more consistent.
Paraguay is doing surprisingly well in these qualifications so far, and they are one of the only 3 undefeated teams left. Paraguay is in 4th place with 6 points, 6 scored goals, and 5 conceded goals so far. In their first 4 games of these qualifications, Paraguay has scored in each game, and while their defense is shaky, Paraguay was able to keep one clean sheet. Romero is the leading goalscorer for Paraguay with 4 goals, and he is expected to be in the starting lineup in this game. Alongside Romero, Almiron is the best player in Paraguay, and he will start this game as well. Paraguay was hosting Bolivia in their last game, and they were the dominant team with an impressive 76% of ball possession, 5 shots on goal, 7 corner kicks, 1 big chance created, and 86% of the correct passes. Despite being a much better team, and despite scoring two goals, Paraguay just couldn’t stay focused on the defensive end, and they conceded 2 goals as well. The final score of this match was 2-2. These will be hard qualifications for Paraguay because they are not good enough to play consistently, and teams better than them are still beneath them in the standings, and they still need to wake up.
When playing at home, Uruguay has not lost to Paraguay in their last 4 games. Paraguay is undefeated in their last 7 games, but Uruguay is the better team here, on both ends, and I see them winning this game.