College Football

San Jose State vs New Mexico State 10/2/21 College Football Picks, Odds, Predictions

New Mexico State Aggies (1-4) vs. San Jose State Spartans (2-2)
October 2, 2021 10:30 pm EDT
The Line: San Jose State Spartans -28 ; Over/Under: 51.5
(Get latest betting odds)

The San Jose State Spartans meet the New Mexico State Aggies Saturday in Week 5 Mountain West college football action from Spartan Stadium. New Mexico State just finished up against Hawaii. In that one the Aggies lost by 20 points. As for San Jose State, they played Western Michigan in their last outing. The Spartans ended up taking a 20-point loss there. Check back all season long for free college football picks at Sports Chat Place. 

New Mexico State had a rough time in their first couple of games this year, falling to UTEP 30-3 before a 28-10 loss to San Diego State in week two. The Aggies got closer versus New Mexico 34-25, and finally got in the win column versus South Carolina State 43-35 on September 18. 

Last weekend versus Hawaii, New Mexico State gave up 17 points in the final quarter during a 41-21 defeat. QB Jonah Johnson finished on 280 yards with one TD and one INT from 28-of-47 passing. Jared Wyatt was the top receiver with nine grabs for 114 yards.

Over on the San Jose State side, they kicked off their season with a big 45-14 blowout win over Southern Utah. The Spartans hit the wall against USC in a 30-7 loss in week two, but then bounced back with a tight and tense 17-13 win over Hawaii in game three. 

The Spartans are coming off a matchup versus Western Michigan. In that one San Jose State gave up 20 points in the first half on the way to a 23-3 defeat. QB Nick Starkel put up just 55 yards and a pick, and Tyler Nevens finished with 94 rush yards from 15 carries. 

The Aggies are 4-1 ATS in their last five versus the Mountain West and 9-19-1 ATS in their last 29 overall. New Mexico State is 0-6 ATS in their last six in October as well. 

Meanwhile, the Spartans are 5-1-1 ATS in their last eight in October and 5-1-1 ATS in their last seven at home. San Jose State is also 6-2-1 ATS in their last nine on turf. 

PICK: I’m probably going with New Mexico State. The Aggies have some things to tighten up on both sides of the ball, though. New Mexico State gave up 492 yards to Hawaii, along with 8.5 yards per play and 21 first downs. The Aggies gave away three turnovers and had a limp 4.6 yards-per-play average themselves. 

As for San Jose State, it’s going to be tough to bounce back from their tepid result last week versus a pretty decent Western Michigan team. The Spartans notched just 124 total yards in that one, along with 2.2 yards per play, 12 first downs, eight penalties and three turnovers. I like SJSU to play better in this one but the cover is probably the Aggies’ to take. 

Andrew's Free Pick: New Mexico State Aggies +28

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Andrew

Andrew has been writing about college, professional and fantasy sports betting since 2013. Andrew's goal is to break down the complicated numbers and trends into a language that's easily accessible to novice sports bettors and seasoned professionals alike.

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