
Miami Dolphins vs Houston Texans 11/7/21 NFL Picks and Predictions
Houston Texans (1-7) vs. Miami Dolphins (1-7)
November 7, 2021 1:00 pm EDT
The Line: Miami Dolphins -7 / Houston Texans +7; Over/Under: -46.5
(Get latest betting odds)
The Miami Dolphins and Houston Texans meet Sunday in an AFC week 9 NFL showdown at Hard Rock Stadium in Miami Gardens. The Houston Texans look to snap a seven-game losing streak. The Miami Dolphins also need a win to snap a seven-game losing streak.
The Houston Texans haven’t won a road game since November of last year. Davis Mills is completing 67 percent of his passes for 1,357 yards, 7 touchdowns and 8 interceptions. Brandin Cooks and Jordan Akins have combined for 762 receiving yards and 2 touchdowns, while Nico Collins has 12 receptions. The Houston Texans ground game is averaging 76.1 yards per contest, and David Johnson leads the way with 108 yards on 29 carries. Defensively, Houston is allowing 30.1 points and 401.4 yards per game. Christian Kirksey leads the Houston Texans with 56 tackles, Jonathan Greenard has 7 sacks and Lonnie Johnson Jr. has 3 interceptions.
The Miami Dolphins haven’t won a home game since December of last year. Tua Tagovailoa is completing 65.6 percent of his passes for 1,040 yards, 7 touchdowns and 5 interceptions. Mike Gesicki and Jaylen Waddle have combined for 888 receiving yards and 5 touchdowns, while DeVante Parker has 25 receptions. The Miami Dolphins ground game is averaging 78.6 yards per contest, and Myles Gaskin leads the way with 279 yards on 66 carries. Defensively, Miami is allowing 29.1 points and 406.9 yards per game. Jerome Baker leads the Miami Dolphins with 43 tackles, Emmanuel Ogbah has 2.5 sacks and Xavien Howard has 2 interceptions.
The Texans are 4-9-1 ATS in their last 14 road games and 2-7-1 ATS in their last 10 games on grass. The Dolphins are 9-4 ATS in their last 13 home games and 0-4-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall. The under is 5-1 in Texans last 6 road games. The over is 4-0 in Dolphins last 4 games on grass. The Texans are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings
I don’t want to lay a touchdown with the Miami Dolphins as much as the next guy, but the Texans aren’t even trying to win games at this point. The Texans are 31st in total offense, 32nd in scoring offense, 29th in total defense and 31st in scoring defense. The Dolphins don’t have their own first round pick, so they have reason to win, and while they’re losing, they’ve competed in these games, losing several in the last seconds. We can’t say the same for the Texans. I’ll eat the touchdown with the Dolphins, but I don’t love it.