Serena Williams vs Ajla Tomljanovic 9/2/22 US Open Tennis Picks, Predictions, Odds

Ajla Tomljanovic and Serena Williams meet in the third round of the 2022 tennis US Open.

Ajla Tomljanovic is coming off a 3 sets win over Evgeniya Rodina that took 27 games to decide. In the victory, Tomljanovic won 61 percent of her first serve points and 36 percent of her second serve points. Tomljanovic won 52 percent of her total service points and converted on 7 of her 18 break points. Tomljanovic got 66 percent of her first serves in play and hit 9 aces. Including qualifying, Tomljanovic has won 7 straight matches that have gone the distance. Tomljanovic looks to make the fourth round of a grand slam for the fourth time in her career. Tomljanovic has never made the fourth round of the US Open. Tomljanovic has won 8 of her last 10 matches on hard court.

Serena Williams is coming off a 3 sets win over Anett Kontaveit that took 29 games to decide. In the victory, Serena won 73 percent of her first serve points and 33 percent of her second serve points. Serena won 59 percent of her total service points and converted on 5 of her 12 break points. Serena got 64 percent of her first serves in play and hit 11 aces. The 3 set win was the first time Serena has won a match that’s gone the distance since the second round of the 2021 French Open. Serena looks to make the fourth round of a grand slam for the fourth time since 2020. Serena hasn’t lost before the fourth round of the US Open since 1998, her first ever appearance. Serena has won 7 of her last 10 matches on hard court.

There’s no match history between these 2 players.

Serena still piles up the unforced errors and shows her age at times, but she’s also starting to find that iconic serve, and it makes her dangerous if she can rack up double-digit free points. Serena is also thriving behind a ridiculous New York crowd that’s showing up in record numbers. It’s going to be tough for Serena to lose under these conditions, and it’s not like Tomljanovic has a lot of grand slam success. I like Serena to keep this run going into the weekend.

Give me Serena and the reasonable price.