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MLB Prop Bets: Toronto Blue Jays vs Pittsburgh Pirates – September 4, 2022

MLB Prop Bets: Toronto Blue Jays vs Pittsburgh Pirates - September 4, 2022
2022-09-04 12:05:00 EDT

The Toronto Blue Jays (72-59) face the Pittsburgh Pirates (49-83) at PNC Park on Sunday at 12:05pm (ET). Let’s take a look at the MLB Prop Bets for the matchup. Ross Stripling is the probable pitcher for the Blue Jays, while JT Brubaker is the probable pitcher for the Pirates. The Blue Jays are favored to win at -200, while the Pirates are at +170. The total runs line is set at 8.0, with OVER at -110 and UNDER at -110.

  • The Blue Jays (-121) have a 57-74 Run Line record this season, while the Pirates (+100) hold a record of 64-68.
  • The Blue Jays have a 67-62-2 O/U record this season (meaning 67 games have gone over the total runs line, 62 have gone under and two have resulted in a push). The Pirates have a 58-64-10 O/U record.

Scoring Insights

  • The Blue Jays are averaging 4.6 runs per game this season (7th in the league). Comparatively, the Pirates are averaging only 3.5 (28th).
  • In the field, the Blue Jays are allowing 4.2 runs per game this season (14th in the league), while the Pirates are allowing an average of 5.1 runs (27th).

Let’s take a look at how these teams perform in some other key statistical areas.


Batting Insights:

Batting Average

  • Looking at their batting averages this season, the Blue Jays are at an impressive .259 (ranking 4th in the Major leagues), while the Pirates are batting an underwhelming .220 (29th).

Home Runs

  • In terms of total home runs this season, the Pirates have hit 128 (18th in the Major Leagues). Meanwhile, the Blue Jays have managed 159 (9th).

Runs Batted In

  • Finally, looking at their runs batted in, the Blue Jays have been outstanding this season, recording 595 RBIs to rank 6th in the MLB. Comparatively, the Pirates have performed poorly in this area, recording only 435 RBIs to rank 28th.

Pitching Insights:

Earned Run Average

  • The Pirates have an earned run average of 4.68 this season (26th in the Majors), while The Blue Jays have an ERA of 3.87 (14th).

Strikeouts

  • Turning our attention to total strikeouts, the Blue Jays have recorded 1138 this season, ranking 12th in the MLB. Meanwhile, the Pirates rank 23rd for total strikeouts, recording 1012.

Opponent Batting Average

  • Opponents are batting an average of .262 against the Pirates this season (27th in the Major Leagues). Comparatively, the Blue Jays’ opponents are at .248 (20th).

First Innings Moneyline

  • Here are their first innings moneyline records in 2022.
  • Total Home Road Favorite Underdog Neutral Last 10
    Blue Jays 33-29-69 17-15-35 16-14-34 26-26-57 7-3-12 0-0-0 1-1-8
    Pirates 18-33-81 11-14-39 7-19-42 5-3-10 13-30-71 0-0-0 1-2-7

Lead After Three Innings

  • Here are their records after the first three innings in 2022.
  • Total Home Road Favorite Underdog Neutral Last 10
    Blue Jays 48-45-38 26-18-23 22-27-15 39-36-34 9-9-4 0-0-0 0-7-3
    Pirates 39-58-35 20-25-19 19-33-16 6-7-5 33-51-30 0-0-0 4-4-2

NRFI/YRFI

  • The NRFI is 64-67 in Blue Jays games this season. The Pirates have a 76-56 NRFI record.

Last Time They Met

The Blue Jays recorded a 4-1 victory over the Pirates at PNC Park yesterday. Bo Bichette went yard en route to that victory, hitting a home run to go with 3 RBIs. The Blue Jays have now won four straight against the Pirates.


Robert Steele

I'm not a fan of being called a "quants" (quantitative analyst) or "math wizard" but it's the truth. I'm a numbers guy. I love to crunch the data, make sense of it, and turn it into a winning bet.

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