Purdue vs Illinois Pick – Basketball Predictions & Odds 3/5/23
Illinois Fighting Illini (20-10) vs. Purdue Boilermakers (25-5)
March 5, 2023 12:30 pm EDT
The Line: Purdue Boilermakers -7.5 / Illinois Fighting Illini +7.5; Over/Under: +139.5
(Get latest betting odds)
The Illinois Fighting Illini and the Purdue Boilermakers meet in college basketball action from the Mackey Arena on Sunday. Let’s dive into the odds, injuries, matchup history and make a prediction for this game.
Odds
Purdue is listed as a 7.5-point home favorite with the total for this game sitting at 139.5 points.
Injuries
For Illinois, Jayden Epps is out for this game with a concussion while Purdue comes into this game with a clean injury report.
Matchup History
Purdue’s 84-68 win over Illinois back on February 8th, 2022, made it back-to-back wins for Purdue in this head-to-head matchup.
Trends
Illinois is 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games overall and 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after scoring more than 90 points in their previous game while the under is 4-1 in their last 5 games following an ATS loss. Purdue is 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games against a team with a winning record and 4-0 ATS in their last 4 home games against a team with a road winning percentage below .400.
Pick
I’m backing the Boilers here. I’ve said it before to anyone who would listen, that the Big Ten is arguably the conference where home court weighs the most. Illinois’ best work as come at home, but like a lot of Big Ten teams, you stick them on the road and all of a sudden, they fail to deliver. I’m thinking we could see more of the same here. Give me the Boilermakers at home here.