Atlanta Hawks (41-41) vs. Miami Heat (44-38)
April 11, 2023 7:30 pm EDT
The Line: Miami Heat -4.5; Over/Under: +227.5
(Get latest betting odds)
The Atlanta Hawks and Miami Heat meet Tuesday in the NBA East Play-In at the Kaseya Center. Let’s preview this game and give out a pick and prediction.
The Atlanta Hawks are averaging 118.4 points on 48.3 percent shooting and allowing 118.1 points on 48.6 percent shooting. Trae Young is averaging 26.2 points and 3 rebounds, while Dejounte Murray is averaging 20.5 points and 5.3 rebounds. De’Andre Hunter is the third double-digit scorer, and Bogdan Bogdanovic is grabbing 3.1 rebounds. The Atlanta Hawks are shooting 35.2 percent from beyond the arc and 81.8 percent from the free throw line. The Atlanta Hawks are allowing 35.6 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 44.4 rebounds per game.
The Miami Heat are averaging 109.5 points on 46 percent shooting and allowing 109.8 points on 48.2 percent shooting. Jimmy Butler is averaging 22.9 points and 5.9 rebounds, while Bam Adebayo is averaging 20.6 points and 9.3 rebounds. Tyler Herro is the third double-digit scorer and Max Strus is grabbing 3.3 rebounds. The Miami Heat are shooting 34.4 percent from beyond the arc and 83.1 percent from the free throw line. The Miami Heat are allowing 36.7 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 40.6 rebounds per game.
The Hawks are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games playing on 1 days rest and 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games overall. The Heat are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games and 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games overall. The over is 4-0-1 in Hawks last 5 overall. The over is 5-0 in Heat last 5 overall. The Hawks are 3-8 ATS in the last 11 meetings in Miami.
The Miami Heat have won 8 of the last 10 meetings against the Hawks, and that includes a one-sided playoff series last year. The Heat’s defensive game plan against Young was masterful as they trapped him and threw several quality defenders his way, and this unit is capable of similar efforts with mostly the same roster. I also can’t overlook what happened to the Hawks on Friday, where their starters lost to the 76ers backups. It was concerning. The Heat are winning their last 5 games by an average of 11 points, and we know Butler turns into a different beast come playoffs. Line is reasonable. Give me the Heat.
