Arizona Diamondbacks vs San Diego Padres Prediction 8-13-23 MLB Picks
Arizona Diamondbacks (58-59) vs San Diego Padres (56-61)
2023-08-13 16:10:00 EDT
The Line: Betting Odds: Arizona Diamondbacks +106 / San Diego Padres -125 --- Over/Under: 9
(Get latest betting odds)
The San Diego Padres and Arizona Diamondbacks clash Sunday in game 3 of an MLB series at Chase Field. Let’s preview this game and give out a pick and prediction.
San Diego Padres Betting Preview
The Padres need a win after losing 5 of their last 6 games. The Padres have fallen to 5 games out of a wild card spot. The Padres pitching staff is 5th in ERA (3.82), 13th in WHIP (1.27) and 4th in quality starts (55). The Padres’ offense is 14th in runs per game (4.62), 19th in batting average (.242) and 10th in homers (150). Xander Bogaerts leads the Padres with 114 hits and 40 RBI, while Juan Soto and Ha-Seong Kim have combined for 219 hits and 117 RBI. Seth Lugo gets the ball, and he is 4-6 with a 4.19 ERA and 90 strikeouts this season. Lugo is 0-2 with a 4.01 ERA and 29 strikeouts in his career against the Diamondbacks.
San Diego Padres Team Facts
- The Padres have lost each of their last three games as favorites after playing the previous day.
- The Padres have failed to cover the run line in each of their last five games after playing the previous day.
- The Padres have led after 3 innings in each of their last three day games against the Diamondbacks.
- The Padres have lost the first inning in three of their last four games as favorites against NL West opponents.
- The Padres have trailed after 7 innings in three of their last four games as favorites against NL West opponents.
San Diego Padres Player Prop Facts
- Juan Soto ranks 3rd amongst qualified players for On Base Percentage (.411) this season.
Arizona Diamondbacks Betting Preview
The Diamondbacks need a win after losing 10 of their last 12 games. The Diamondbacks are 3 games back in the NL wild card race. The Diamondbacks pitching staff is 25th in ERA (4.69), 20th in WHIP (1.35) and 11th in quality starts (44). The Diamondbacks’ offense is 13th in runs per game (4.66), 12th in batting average (.253) and 19th in homers (128). Ketel Marte leads the Diamondbacks with 119 hits and 59 RBI, while Christian Walker and Corbin Carroll have combined for 218 hits and 130 RBI. Brandon Pfaadt gets the ball, and he is 0-6 with a 7.16 ERA and 42 strikeouts this season. This will be Pfaadt’s first career game against the Padres.
Arizona Diamondbacks Team Facts
- The Diamondbacks have lost each of their last 10 day games after playing the previous day.
- The Diamondbacks have failed to cover the run line in each of their last six day games following a home win.
- The Diamondbacks have trailed after 7 innings in each of their last eight home day games.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the last four games between the Padres and Diamondbacks.
Arizona Diamondbacks Player Prop Facts
- Corbin Carroll ranks 3rd in the league in Steals (36) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Arizona Diamondbacks ranks 2nd in the league for triples this season (27).
- The Arizona Diamondbacks ranks 3rd in the league for steals this season (122).
- The San Diego Padres ranks 2nd in the league for walks this season (473).
- The San Diego Padres are one of only 3 teams in the league to rank top 10 in both steals and home runs this season.
Randy’s Pick
Neither team is plying well at the worst possible time, and I’m not eager to get behind either side. The Padres have no heart, and Soto has recently questioned his teams’ mindset. The Diamondbacks have been dreadful in the second half and Brandon Pfaadt has been even worse with his 7.16 ERA and 1.47 WHIP. The Padres should be favorites with the more reliable pitcher on the mound in Seth Lugo. Still, two teams going in the wrong direction. If forced to pick give the Diamondbacks at home and the plus money.