Seattle Mariners vs Houston Astros Prediction 9-26-23 MLB Picks
Seattle Mariners (84-72) vs Houston Astros (86-71)
2023-09-26 22:05:00 EDT
The Line: Betting Odds: Seattle Mariners -147 / Houston Astros +124 --- Over/Under: 8
(Get latest betting odds)
The Houston Astros and the Seattle Mariners meet in game two of their three-game AL West division series in MLB action from T-Mobile Park on Tuesday night.
Astros Win Opener
The Houston Astros took down the Mariners in game one of the series on Monday by a final score of 5-1. The win brought Houston’s record up to 86-71 on the year, holding on to the final Wild Card spot in the American League and leading the Mariners by 1.5 games in that race while sitting 2.5 games back in the AL West race for the division title. Entering Monday, Kyle Tucker leads the Astros with a .281 batting average and 109 RBIs with a .367 OBP and 34 doubles with 28 homers as well while Alex Bregman has 24 homers with 96 RBIs and a team-high 156 hits. Yordan Alvarez has a team-leading 29 homers and 94 RBIs while Tucker also has a team-high 29 stolen bases this season. Cristian Javier will start for the Astros here and is 9-4 with a 4.64 ERA and 149 strikeouts this season.
Houston Astros Team Facts
The Astros have won each of their last 11 games as road underdogs.
The Astros have covered the run line in each of their last 11 games as road underdogs.
The Astros have led after 7 innings in each of their last nine games as road underdogs against American League opponents.
The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Astros’ last five games at T-Mobile Park.
The Astros have led after 3 innings in each of their last three games as road underdogs against American League opponents.
Mariners Looking To Rebound
The Seattle Mariners are in dire need of a bounce back performance after their loss to the Astros on Monday. The loss dropped Seattle to 84-72 on the year, sitting 1.5 games back on the outside looking in on the AL Wild Card race. Entering Monday, Julio Rodriguez leads the Mariners with 179 hits and 100 RBIs along with 31 home runs and a .284 batting average while Cal Raleigh has 30 home runs this season. Teoscar Hernandez has 26 home runs along with 92 RBIs for the Mariners this season and Eugenio Suarez has 21 homers of his own along with 92 RBIs as well. J.P. Crawford also has a .266 batting average and a .378 OBP this season. George Kirby will start for the Mariners here and is 11-10 with a 3.58 ERA and 161 strikeouts this season.
Seattle Mariners Team Facts
The Mariners have lost each of their last 10 games against teams that held a winning record.
The road team has covered the run line in each of the last eight games between the Astros and Mariners.
The Mariners have trailed after 7 innings in each of their last seven games against American League opponents that held a winning record.
The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Mariners’ last five games as favorites against AL West opponents.
The Mariners have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last five games against American League opponents that held a winning record.
Seattle Mariners Player Prop Facts
Julio Rodriguez ranks T7th in the league in Steals (36) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
The Seattle Mariners rank T29th in the league for triples this season (12).
The Seattle Mariners rank 29th in the league for strikeouts against this season (1540).
The Houston Astros rank 3rd in the league for strikeouts against this season (1202).
The Houston Astros rank 4th in the league for hits this season (1394).
Chris’ Pick
I’m sticking with Seattle here. Sure, the Astros won Monday’s opener, but the Mariners are still the more desperate team, maybe even more so after Monday’s loss and George Kirby’s been much better at home this season. Cristian Javier’s struggled on the road with an ERA well over five, and the Mariners have still won 8 of the 11 meetings between these two so far this season. I’ll roll with Seattle in this one.