Auburn vs Georgia Prediction Football Picks 9-30-23
Auburn Tigers (3-1) vs Georgia Bulldogs (4-0)
2023-09-30 15:30:00 EDT
The Line: Betting Odds: Auburn Tigers +14.5 -- Over/Under: 47
(Get latest betting odds)
The Georgia Bulldogs and the Auburn Tigers meet in week 5 college football action from Jordan-Hare Stadium on Saturday afternoon.
Bulldogs Remain Unbeaten
The Georgia Bulldogs took out UAB last week to improve to 4-0 on the year with a 49-21 win over UAB last time out. Carson Beck has thrown for 1,184 yards, 6 touchdowns and an interception on 72.7% passing while Daijun Edwards has a team-high 184 rushing yards and 3 touchdowns this season. Brock Bowers leads Georgia with 22 receptions for 256 receiving yards and 2 touchdowns while Marcus Rosemy-Jacksaint has 182 receiving yards and Dominic Lovett has 17 receptions for 169 yards. Another four Georgia receivers have 100+ receiving yards this season. On defense, Tykee Smith has a team-high 15 total tackles as well as 3 interceptions this season. Georgia’s defense as a whole has 5 sacks and 7 interceptions this season.
Georgia Bulldogs Team Facts
Georgia has won each of its last 30 games against non-AP-ranked teams.
Georgia has covered the spread in each of its last six games against Auburn.
Georgia has won the first quarter in six of its last seven games against conference opponents.
Georgia has won the first half in seven of its last eight games against conference opponents.
Five of Georgia’s last six games as a favorite against Auburn have gone UNDER the total points line.
Auburn Throttled by Texas A&M For First Loss
The Auburn Tigers took their first loss of the season last time out, falling to 3-1 on the year after a 27-10 loss to Texas A&M last time out. Payton Thorne has thrown for 561 yards, 4 touchdowns and 3 interceptions on 65.3% passing while Jarquez Hunter has a team-high 143 rushing yards. Another four Auburn rushers have 100+ rushing yards this season while Jay Fair leads Auburn’s receivers with 15 catches for 184 yards and 2 touchdowns. On defense, Eugene Asante has a team-high 28 total tackles and a pair of sacks while Jaylin Simpson has a team-high 3 interceptions. Marcus Harris and Cam Riley each have a pair of sacks as well this season.
Auburn Tigers Team Facts
The favorite has won each of Auburn’s last 18 games.
The favorite has covered the spread in each of the last six games between Georgia and Auburn.
Auburn has lost the first half in six of its last seven games against conference opponents.
Auburn has won the first quarter in three of its last four home games against conference opponents.
Each of Auburn’s last five September games against top-15 AP-ranked teams have gone UNDER the total points line.
Matchup/League Facts
Auburn ranked 29th among FBS teams for Q1 points allowed per game last season (4.3).
Georgia ranked 1st among FBS teams for H1 win percentage last season (.867).
Georgia ranked 2nd among FBS teams for Q2 win percentage last season (.800).
Chris’ Pick
I’m leaning towards Georgia here. I know it’s Georgia’s first road game in conference and the first conference game saw Georgia win by just ten points against South Carolina, but Auburn’s shown me nothing to this point, narrowly beating Cal and blowing out the likes of UMass and Samford before getting stomped out by Texas A&M last week. I think Jordan-Hare will be rocking for this game but I’m not sure it matters. Give me Georgia here.