Atlanta Braves vs Washington Nationals Prediction 9-30-23 MLB Picks
Atlanta Braves (103-57) vs Washington Nationals (70-90)
2023-09-30 19:20:00 EDT
The Line: Betting Odds: Atlanta Braves -350 / Washington Nationals +304 --- Over/Under: 9
(Get latest betting odds)
The Washington Nationals and Atlanta Braves clash Saturday in game 2 of an MLB series at Truist Park. Let’s preview this game and give out a pick and prediction.
Washington Nationals Betting Preview
The Nationals need a win after losing 6 of their last 10 games. The Nationals have the third-worst record in the NL. The Nationals pitching staff is 27th in ERA (4.99), 28th in WHIP (1.47) and 19th in quality starts (50). The Nationals’ offense is 21st in runs per game (4.29), 12th in batting average (.253) and 29th in homers (151). Joey Meneses leads the Nationals with 166 hits and 87 RBI, while Lane Thomas and CJ Abrams have combined for 298 hits and 149 RBI. Joan Adon gets the ball, and he is 2-4 with a 6.42 ERA and 43 strikeouts this season. This will be Adon’s second career game against the Braves.
Washington Nationals Team Facts
The Nationals have lost each of their last six games against National League opponents following a win.
The Nationals have failed to cover the run line in each of their last seven games as underdogs following a win.
The Nationals have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last four road night games.
The Nationals have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last 12 night games.
The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Nationals’ last five games at Truist Park.
Atlanta Braves Betting Preview
The Braves look for a win after winning 7 of their last 10 games. The Braves have the best record in baseball. The Braves pitching staff is 15th in ERA (4.10), 17th in WHIP (1.29) and 11th in quality starts (60). The Braves’ offense is 1st in runs per game (5.83), 1st in batting average (.275) and 1st in homers (304). Ronald Acuna Jr. leads the Braves with 215 hits and 106 RBI, while Austin Riley and Matt Olson have combined for 345 hits and 233 RBI. Spencer Strider gets the ball, and he is 19-5 with a 3.81 ERA and 274 strikeouts this season. Strider is 3-1 with a 4.38 ERA and 31 strikeouts in his career against the Nationals.
Atlanta Braves Team Facts
The Braves have won each of their last six games against the Nationals following a loss.
The Braves have failed to cover the run line in each of their last eight Saturday night games as home favorites against NL East opponents.
The Braves have led after 5 innings in each of their last six night games against NL East opponents that held a losing record.
The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the last five games between the Nationals and Braves at Truist Park.
The Braves have won the first inning in each of their last three games against National League opponents.
Matchup/League Facts
The Atlanta Braves rank 1st in the league for runs scored this season (933).
The Atlanta Braves rank 1st in the league for hits this season (1521).
The Washington Nationals rank 30th in the league for home runs allowed this season (242).
The Washington Nationals rank 29th in the league for home runs this season (151).
Randy’s Pick
The Braves continue to pile up the wins at an elite rate, and we shouldn’t expect much different here. Spencer Strider is one of the best pitchers in baseball with a 3.81 ERA, 1.07 WHIP and 274 strikeouts which leads baseball. Joan Adon and his 6.42 ERA just doesn’t compare. The Braves don’t have anything to play for in this contest, but they should win given the glaring gap between starting pitchers. Give me the Braves and the RL for max betting value.