
LSU vs Auburn Prediction Football Picks 10-14-23
LSU Tigers (4-2) vs Auburn Tigers (3-2)
2023-10-14 19:00:00 EDT
The Line: Betting Odds: LSU Tigers -11.5 -- Over/Under: 61
(Get latest betting odds)
The Auburn Tigers and the LSU Tigers meet in week 7 college football action from Tiger Stadium on Saturday.
Auburn Drops Back-To-Back Games
The Auburn Tigers come into this game on the heels of back-to-back losses after a 27-20 loss to the Georgia Bulldogs last time out. Payton Thorne has thrown for 643 yards, 4 touchdowns and 4 interceptions on 62.8% passing while also rushing for 198 yards and 2 scores. Jarquez Hunter has a team-high 202 rushing yards and 2 TDs while Robby Ashford has 5 TDs on the ground as one of three addition Auburn rushers with 100+ rushing yards. Jay Fair leads Auburn’s receiving group with 18 grabs for 196 yards and 2 touchdowns. On defense, Eugene Asante has a team-high 35 total tackles including a pair of sacks while Marcus Harris and Cam Riley each have a pair of sacks as well and Jaylin Simpson has a team-high 4 interceptions as well on the year.
Auburn Tigers Team Facts
- Auburn has lost each of its last eight games against AP-ranked teams.
- The home team has covered the spread in seven of Auburn’s last eight games.
- Auburn has lost the first half in each of its last five road games against conference opponents.
- Each of Auburn’s last five games against AP-ranked teams have gone OVER the total points line.
LSU Escapes Missouri
The LSU Tigers narrowly got by Missouri in a game that was a lot closer than the final score would indicate, beating Missouri 49-39 to improve to 4-2 on the year. Jayden Daniels has thrown for 1,969 yards, 19 touchdowns and 2 interceptions on 72.9% passing while also rushing for 422 yards and 4 touchdowns. Logan Diggs leads LSU’s receiving group with 488 rushing yards and 4 touchdowns and Malik Nabers has a team-high 46 receptions for 771 yards and 6 touchdowns while Brian Thomas Jr. has 37 receptions for 603 yards and a team-high 9 touchdowns this season. LSU has another three receivers each with 100+ receiving yards as well this season. On defense, Major Burns has a team-high 42 total tackles while Harold Perkins Jr. has a pair of sacks. As a unit, LSU has combined for 11 sacks and 6 interceptions this season.
LSU Tigers Team Facts
- LSU has won each of its last seven games against non-AP-ranked teams at Tiger Stadium.
- LSU has covered the spread in each of its last six October home games against non-AP-ranked teams.
- LSU has lost the first half in five of its last six games against conference opponents.
- Each of LSU’s last 10 games have gone OVER the total points line.
Matchup/League Facts
- LSU rank 5th among FBS teams for points per game this season (44.8).
- LSU has scored 40+ points in three road games this season – most of any FBS team.
- Auburn rank 26th among FBS teams for points allowed per game this season (18.2).
Chris’ Pick
I’m leaning towards LSU right now, mainly because LSU’s defense has been more than questionable for much of the season and has shown an ability to let any team hang around. However, LSU’s also played a lot stiffer competition than what they’re up against here in all honesty, and I just don’t know if Auburn can match score for score with LSU here. It’s a decent-sized line, but I think LSU has enough to snag the cover here with a two-touchdown win at the very least.