Toronto Maple Leafs vs Tampa Bay Lightning prediction 11-6-23 NHL Picks
Toronto Maple Leafs (5-4-2) vs Tampa Bay Lightning (5-3-3)
2023-11-06 19:00:00 EDT
The Line: Betting Odds: Toronto Maple Leafs -132 / Tampa Bay Lightning +107 --- Over/Under: 6.5
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The Tampa Bay Lightning and Toronto Maple Leafs meet Monday in NHL action at the Scotiabank Arena. Let’s preview this game and give out a pick and prediction.
Tampa Bay Lightning Betting Preview
The Tampa Bay Lightning look for a win after splitting their last 8 games. The Lightning have lost 4 of their first 5 road games this season. The Tampa Bay Lightning are averaging 3.64 goals per game and are scoring on 30.6 percent of their power play opportunities. Nikita Kucherov leads Tampa Bay with 7 goals, Brayden Point has 9 assists and Steven Stamkos has 28 shots on goal. Defensively, the Tampa Bay Lightning are allowing 3.27 goals per game and are killing 86.7 percent of their opponent’s power plays. Jonas Johansson has given up 26 goals on 310 shots faced, while Matt Tomkins has allowed 7 goals on 64 shots.
Tampa Bay Lightning Team Facts
- The underdogs have won four of the Lightning’s last five games.
- The Lightning have failed to cover the puck line in eight of their last nine games as underdogs following a road win.
- The home team has won the third period in each of the Lightning’s last five games.
- The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 1’ market has hit in eight of the Lightning’s last nine games as underdogs against Atlantic Division opponents.
Toronto Maple Leafs Betting Preview
The Toronto Maple Leafs look to snap a 4-game losing streak. The Maple Leafs have lost 3 straight home games. The Toronto Maple Leafs are averaging 3.18 goals per game and are scoring on 29 percent of their power play opportunities. Auston Matthews leads Toronto with 11 goals, William Nylander has 9 assists and John Tavares has 43 shots on goal. Defensively, the Toronto Maple Leafs are allowing 3.27 goals per game and are killing 75 percent of their opponent’s power plays. Ilya Samsonov has allowed 19 goals on 147 shots faced, while Jospeh Woll has given up 14 goals on 194 shots.
Toronto Maple Leafs Team Facts
- The underdogs have won each of the Maple Leafs’ last five games.
- The Maple Leafs have failed to cover the puck line in each of their last 12 games as favorites against Atlantic Division opponents.
- The Maple Leafs have lost the second period in each of their last four games at Scotiabank Arena.
- The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 1’ market has hit in seven of the last eight games between the Lightning and Maple Leafs.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Toronto Maple Leafs ranks 5th in the league in power play percentage this season (28.95%).
- The Toronto Maple Leafs ranks T6th in the league for power play goals this season (11).
- The Tampa Bay Lightning ranks 3rd in the league in power play percentage this season (30.56%).
- The Tampa Bay Lightning ranks 7th in the league for goals per game this season (3.64).
Randy’s Pick
One would assume the Toronto Maple Leafs are going to get their act together sooner than alter, but I’m not laying juice with them riding a 4-game losing streak. The Tampa Bay Lightning also aren’t a team you get in the underdog role often. The road team has won 7 of the last 8 meetings between the Lightning and Maple Leafs. The value is with the road dog in this spot. Give me the Lightning and the plus money.