Minnesota Vikings vs New Orleans Saints prediction 11-12-23 NFL Picks

The New Orleans Saints and the Minnesota Vikings meet in week 10 NFL action from U.S. Bank Stadium on Sunday afternoon.

New Orleans Wins Back-To-Back Games

The New Orleans Saints come into this one on the heels of back-to-back wins after a 24-17 win over Chicago last time out. Derek Carr has thrown for 2,121 yards, 10 touchdowns and 4 interceptions on 65.5% passing while Alvin Kamara has a team-high 346 rushing yards and 2 touchdowns this season. Taysom Hill has 255 rushing yards with a team-high 3 touchdowns while Chris Olave has a team-high 50 receptions for 563 yards and 2 touchdowns. Rashid Shaheed has 26 receptions for 501 yards and a team-high 3 touchdowns while Michael Thomas has 439 receiving yards and 38 receptions. Demario Davis has a team-high 65 total tackles along with 3 sacks while Carl Granderson has a team-high 5.5 sacks. Paulson Adebo also has a team-high 4 interceptions for New Orleans this season.

New Orleans Saints Team Facts

• The Saints have lost three of their last four Week 10 games as favorites against NFC opponents.
• The Saints have failed to cover the spread in each of their last six games as favorites against NFC opponents.
• The Saints have lost the first quarter in eight of their last nine games in November.
• The Saints have scored the first touchdown in each of their last four road games against NFC opponents.
• The Saints have won the first half in each of their last four road games against NFC opponents.

Vikings Take Out Falcons

The Minnesota Vikings come into this game looking to build on a 4th straight win after a 31-28 win over Atlanta last time out. Josh Dobbs threw for 158 yards and 2 touchdowns in his Vikings debut after taking over for the injured Kirk Cousins, while Alexander Mattison has a team-high 434 rushing yards. Justin Jefferson has a team-high 571 receiving yards and 3 touchdowns while T.J. Hockenson has a team-high 60 receptions for 547 yards and 3 TDs. Jordan Addison has 41 receptions with 534 receiving yards and a team-high 7 touchdowns while K.J. Osborn has 377 receiving yards. On defense, Camryn Bynum and Jordan Hicks each have a team-high 80 total tackles while Bynum has a pair of interceptions as well. Danielle Hunter leads the Vikings with 10 sacks while D.J. Wonnum has 4 sacks and Byron Murphy Jr. has a pair of interceptions as well this season.

Minnesota Vikings Team Facts

• The Vikings have won seven of their last eight Week 10 games as underdogs.
• The Vikings have covered the spread in eight of their last nine Week 10 games.
• The Vikings have lost the first quarter in each of their last four Sunday games at U.S. Bank Stadium.
• The Vikings have scored the first touchdown in eight of their last nine games against NFC opponents.
• The road team has won the first half in seven of the Vikings’ last eight Week 10 games.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Vikings rank T1st in the NFL in forced fumbles this season (13).
• The Vikings rank 32nd in the NFL in Q3 opponent points per game this season (7.3).
• The Saints rank 1st in the NFL in interceptions this season (12).
• The Saints rank 32nd in the NFL in average yards per punt this season (42.6).

Chris’ Pick

I’m rolling with Minnesota here. I’m just back onto not trusting the Saints, even though they got the win last week, as their offense is just inconsistent and the defense has not been as sharp lately. I’m not sure how long the Vikings will continue to hum with Josh Dobbs at QB, but if he can lead this team to a win without taking any snaps with the first team and not knowing anyone’s names like he did against Atlanta, I feel decent about his chances with time to work with his new team. Give me the Vikings here.