Purdue (34-4) vs. Connecticut (36-3)
April 8, 2024 9:20 pm EDT
The Line: Connecticut -6.5; Over/Under: +145.5
(Get latest betting odds)
In this article, we will formulate a UConn vs Purdue prediction for this college basketball showdown for the National Championship on Monday, April 8th at State Farm Stadium. We will take a look at:
-The UConn Huskies recent form and recent player performance
-The Purdue Boilermakers recent form and recent player performance
-A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for today’s game between UConn vs Purdue.
Purdue Will Need to Play Better
Purdue really didn’t play that well on Saturday and if they play that well here, they will be losing this game. Purdue faced off on Saturday against NC State and the defense gave up only 50 points on the way to the 13-point defeat. Zach Edey put up 20 points, 12 rebounds, and four assists. Lance Jones also had a strong game, putting up 14 points and four rebounds. Purdue on the season is averaging 82.9 points, while their defense is giving up 68.8 points per game. Zach Edey had a strong game, putting up 24.9 points while shooting 62.5 percent from the field and 50 percent from behind the three point line. Edey is going to need to be a good passer here, and help create some open three point shots.
Purdue Team Facts
- Purdue has won each of its last 10 night games.
- Seven of Purdue’s last eight night games against AP-ranked opponents at a neutral venue have produced a total of 148+ points.
- Purdue has won the first half in each of its last eight games against non-Conference opponents.
UConn Offense Impressed Again
UConn faced off against Alabama in the last game and it was another strong offensive game. UConn scored 86 points, and they ended up winning by 14 points. UConn used a balanced attack, with five different players finished with at least 12 points. Stephon Castle had a strong game, putting up 21 points, five rebounds, and two assists. UConn is averaging 81.6 points, while their defense is giving up 63.5 points per game. Tristen Newton is averaging 14.9 points while shooting 41.3 percent from the field. There are five different players that are averaging at least 11 points per game. If UConn can use a balanced attack here, UConn really should be in great shape to pick up another key victory.
UConn Team Facts
- Connecticut has won each of its last 18 games against non-Conference opponents at neutral venues.
- Twelve of Connecticut’s last 13 NCAA Tournament night games have produced a total of 136 or fewer points.
- Connecticut has won the first half in each of its last 14 games against non-Conference opponents at neutral venues.
Purdue vs UConn Matchup Facts
- Connecticut ranks 1st among Division 1 teams for points per possession this season (1.24).
- Connecticut ranks 3rd among Division 1 teams for point differential per game this season (+17.2).
- Purdue is one of three teams to rank in the top-10 for both points and assists per game this season.
- Purdue ranks 4th among Division 1 teams for opponent rebounds per game this season (29.3).
UConn vs Purdue Betting Prediction
On paper, UConn is the better team, but this is way too many points. Zach Edey is a mismatch against most teams, and it’s going to be no different here. Edey had a down game in the last game, and he still finished with 20 points and 12 rebounds. Purdue on the season is averaging 82.9 points per game, and they are going to have no issue running up the score here. UConn might still win the game, but it will go down to the final position. Back Purdue to cover the spread.
