Washington Nationals (13-14) vs. Miami Marlins (6-23)
April 29, 2024 6:40 pm EDT
The Line: Miami Marlins -156 / Washington Nationals +133; Over/Under: +8
(Get latest betting odds)
The Washington Nationals and Miami Marlins meet Monday in MLB game 4 action at Nissan Arena. Here’s a Washington Nationals vs Miami Marlins prediction.
Washington Nationals Betting Preview
The Washington Nationals look for a 4-game sweep before taking on the Rangers and Blue Jays after this series. The Washington Nationals have scored 26 runs in their last 3 games and 4 or more runs in 4 of their last 8 games. The Washington Nationals have won 5 straight games when scoring 4 or more runs. CJ Abrams leads the Washington Nationals with 29 hits and 15 RBI, while Jesse Winker and Luis Garcia Jr. have combined for 50 hits and 23 RBI.
Miami Marlins Betting Preview
The Miami Marlins have lost 6 straight games and take on the Rockies after this series. The Miami Marlins have scored 14 runs in their last 3 games and 3 or fewer runs in 8 of their last 11 games. The Miami Marlins have lost 5 straight games when scoring 3 or fewer runs. Luis Arraez leads the Miami Marlins with 36 hits and 3 RBI, while Bryan De La Cruz and Jazz Chisholm Jr. have combined for 56 hits and 29 RBI.
Washington Nationals vs Miami Marlins Pitching Matchup
Jake Irvin gets the ball for the Washington Nationals, and he is 1-2 with a 4.55 ERA and 23 strikeouts this season. Irvin has a 2.12 ERA and .203 allowed batting average in 17 road innings this season. Irvin has gone 6 innings in 3 of his last 4 starts. Irvin is 0-0 with a 2.81 ERA and 11 strikeouts in his career against the Miami Marlins.
Trevor Rogers gets the ball for the Miami Marlins, and he is 0-3 with a 4.10 ERA and 24 strikeouts this season. Rogers has already pitched more than he did last season, and the Marlins are 0-5 this year when he pitches. Through 26.1 innings, Rogers has allowed just 1 home run. Rogers is 3-2 with a 3.22 ERA and 36 strikeouts in his career against the Washington Nationals.
Miami Marlins Team Facts
- The Marlins have lost each of their last 10 games as favorites.
- The Marlins have failed to cover the run line in each of their last 17 games as home favorites against National League opponents.
- The Marlins have trailed after 5 innings in four of their last five games as favorites.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Marlins’ last three night games at LoanDepot Park.
Washington Nationals Team Facts
- The Nationals have won each of their last four games as road underdogs.
- The Nationals have covered the run line in each of their last seven games against the Marlins following a win.
- The Nationals have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last nine night games against NL East opponents.
- The Nationals have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last five night games against NL East opponents that held a losing record.
Washington Nationals vs Miami Marlins prediction
On paper, the Marlins probably should win this game as they’re at home and Trevor Rogers has above average stuff despite the lack of results this season. The problem is, the Marlins have been the worst team in baseball outside of the White Sox, and backing them in the favorite role just feels nuts. I want nothing to do with the Marlins, and I want even less to do with them as a favorite. Give me the Nationals and the plus money.
