
Iga Swiatek vs Naomi Osaka Prediction 5-29-24 Picks
Iga Swiatek vs Naomi Osaka
May 29, 2024 11:00 am EDT
The Line: Iga Swiatek -1600 / Naomi Osaka +900
(Get latest betting odds)
Iga Swiatek and Naomi Osaka meet Wednesday in the 2024 French Open tennis second round. Here’s a Iga Swiatek vs Naomi Osaka Prediction.
Iga Swiatek Betting Preview
Iga Swiatek is coming off a straight set win over Leolia Jeanjean that took 15 games to decide. In the victory, Swiatek won 78 percent of her first serve points and 50 percent of her second serve points. Swiatek won 70 percent of her total service points and converted on 6 of her 6 break points. Swiatek got 73 percent of her first serves in play and saved one of her two break points. Swiatek has won each of her last 15 sets and hasn’t lost a match since Stuttgart. Swiatek is currently head and shoulders the betting favorite to win the French Open. Swiatek hasn’t lost in the second round of the French Open in her career. Swiatek hasn’t lost in the second round of a grand slam since the 2019 US Open. Swiatek has won 13 straight matches on clay court.
Naomi Osaka Betting Preview
Naomi Osaka is coming off a 3 set win over Lucia Bronzetti that took 29 games to decide. In the victory, Osaka won 72 percent of her first serve points and 56 percent of her second serve points. Osaka won 64 percent of her total service points and converted on 5 of her 11 break points. Osaka got 52 percent of her first serves in play and hit 6 aces. It was Osaka’s first three set win since 2022 San Jose. Osaka has to clean up the double faults and the 45 unforced errors if she’s going to pull off the upset here. Osaka has 12 career wins over top-10 players, but none of those wins have come since 2020. Osaka hasn’t made the third round of a grand slam since the 2022 Australian Open, and she hasn’t made the third round of the French Open since 2019. Osaka has won 5 of her last 7 matches on clay court.
Iga Swiatek vs Naomi Osaka H2H
These two split the previous two meetings, as Osaka won 2019 Toronto in straight sets and Swiatek won 2022 Miami in straight sets. This will obviously be the first meeting on clay.
Iga Swiatek vs Naomi Osaka Prediction
We obviously know what Osaka is capable of when she’s right, but the problem is she’s still working her way back into form and hasn’t been able to sustain success. Osaka still doesn’t get her first serve in play at a high percentage, and she’s been an error machine at times. Not ideal when going up against Swiatek, who is juiced to win the tournament. Swiatek is -200 at some books to lift the trophy. If Osaka can’t keep her unforced error total low, Swiatek is going to cruise to an effortless victory.
I’d love to see a competitive match, but give me Swiatek in straight sets.