Baltimore Orioles (38-20) vs. Toronto Blue Jays (28-31)
June 4, 2024 7:07 pm EDT
The Line: Toronto Blue Jays +140 / Baltimore Orioles -165; Over/Under: +8.5
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In this article we will formulate a Toronto Blue Jays vs Baltimore Orioles prediction for this MLB game on Tuesday, June 4th at the Rogers Centre in Toronto, Ontario. Let’s take a look at the prediction for game two in this series.
Blue Jays Trying to Stay Hot
The Toronto Blue Jays are 28-31 this season and they have won five of their last seven games. Toronto dropped game one in this series and only scored two runs in the loss. Prior to this series, the Blue Jays won two out of three against the Pirates, swept the White Sox in three games, and lost three out of four against the Tigers. Toronto is 9-6 in their last 15 games, but they are last in the AL East behind the Yankees, Orioles, Red Sox, and Rays.
The Toronto pitching staff has a 4.22 ERA, a 1.30 WHIP, and a .253 opponent batting average. The Blue Jays offense has scored 233 runs with a .234 batting average and a .312 on base percentage. Vladimir Guerrero is batting .295 with six home runs and 27 RBI’s for the Blue Jays this season. Toronto is 25th in runs scored this year, but they have scored at least five runs in five of their last eight games.
Orioles are Chasing the Yankees
The Baltimore Orioles are 38-20 this year and they have won four of their last five games. Baltimore did win game one in this series by a score of 7-2 on Monday night. Prior to this series, the Orioles won two out of three against the Rays, won two out of three against the Red Sox, and swept the White Sox in four games. Baltimore is 9-2 in their last 11 games and they are just 2.5 games behind the Yankees in the AL East.
The Baltimore pitching staff has a 3.29 ERA, a 1.15 WHIP, and a .220 opponent batting average. The Orioles offense has scored 294 runs with a .249 batting average and a .309 on base percentage. Adley Rutschman is batting .301 with 10 home runs and 38 RBI’s for the Orioles this season. Baltimore is seventh in runs scored this season and they have scored at least five runs in seven of their last eleven games.
Starting Pitchers
The projected starting pitcher for Toronto is Bowden Francis, who is 2-2 with an 8.59 ERA and a 1.70 WHIP over 14.2 innings pitched this season. Francis has not allowed an earned run in his last two appearances, but he did allow 14 earned runs in the previous three outings. The projected starting pitcher for Baltimore is Corbin Burnes, who is 5-2 with a 2.35 ERA and a 1.05 WHIP over 72.2 innings pitched this season. Burnes has allowed three earned runs or fewer in five straight starts and he has allowed zero earned runs in two of his last three outings.
Why the Baltimore Orioles will win
The Orioles have won each of their last six road games against American League opponents.
The Blue Jays have lost five of their last six night games against teams that held a winning record.
The Blue Jays have failed to cover the run line in nine of their last 10 night games against teams that held a winning record.
The Orioles have covered the run line in eight of their last nine games at Rogers Centre.
The Orioles have led after 3 innings in each of their last three games.
The Orioles have led after 5 innings in each of their last four night games against the Blue Jays.
Total Runs Facts
Each of the Blue Jays’ last four home games after playing the previous day have gone OVER the total runs line.
Six of the Orioles’ last seven road games against AL East opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Blue Jays’ last 10 night games.
The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Orioles’ last four road games.
Toronto Blue Jays vs Baltimore Orioles Prediction
Baltimore was able to pick up the win in game one of this series and they will look to grab another win here. The Orioles are 17-8 on the road this year, while Toronto is just 14-14 at home. The Blue Jays offense has picked up the pace recently, but they have some rough numbers on the season. Toronto hasn’t officially announced their starting pitcher for this game, but it sounds like it could be Bowden Francis, who I don’t trust against this Baltimore lineup. The Orioles are going with Corbin Burnes, who is having a great start to this season. Baltimore is too good offensively and Burnes should be able to contain the Toronto lineup. My Toronto Blue Jays vs Baltimore Orioles prediction is for the Orioles to win by at least two runs.
