NY Mets vs Atlanta Braves Prediction 7-26-24 Picks

The Atlanta Braves and the New York Mets meet Friday in MLB action from Citi Field. Here’s a NY Mets vs Atlanta Braves Prediction. This will be the second installment in a four-game series. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for the game.

Atlanta Braves Betting Preview

The Braves played a pair of games versus the Cincinnati Reds this week. Atlanta lost both of those outings 4-1 and 9-4. On Thursday versus the Mets, Atlanta took a 10-inning loss 3-2. Starter Chris Sale finished on 7.1 innings and two earned runs.

In the starter role for Friday, the Braves will go with Charlie Morton. This year Morton is 5-5 with a 3.92 ERA in 18 starts. Morton is 135-118 with a 3.99 career ERA in 371 games (370 starts).

New York Mets Betting Preview

Over on the Mets’ side, they played a successful pair versus the New York Yankees this week. The Mets won both of those games 3-2 and 12-3. On Thursday New York had just three hits but still managed to eke out the walk-off win. Luis Severino had 5.0 innings with two earned runs.

As starting pitcher for the Mets on Friday, Kodai Senga will be making his season debut. In his career Senga is 12-7 with a 2.98 ERA in 29 starts.

Mets vs Braves Pick Injury Notes

Braves CF Michael Harris (hamstring) has not yet progressed to sprinting.

Mets CF Harrison Bader (ankle) remained out of the lineup Thursday.

Total Runs Facts

• Each of the Mets’ last five home games after going to extra innings have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Each of the Braves’ last four night games after playing the previous day have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Braves’ last six games as road underdogs against National League opponents.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Mets’ last six games against NL East opponents.

New York Mets Player Prop Facts

• Francisco Lindor has recorded at least one Single in eight of the Mets’ last nine games as favorites against the Braves.
• Francisco Lindor has scored at least one run in each of the Mets’ last six games as home favorites against the Braves.
• Francisco Lindor has recorded at least one total base in each of the Mets’ last 10 games.
• Kodai Senga has recorded a win in five of his last six appearances against NL opponents.
• Pete Alonso has recorded a Double in six of the Mets’ last eight night games against NL East opponents that held a winning record.
• Francisco Lindor has recorded at least one hit in each of the Mets’ last 10 games.
• Pete Alonso has recorded at least one RBI in each of the Mets’ last four games as home favorites against the Braves.
• Francisco Lindor has hit at least one home run in three of the Mets’ last four games.

Atlanta Braves Player Prop Facts

• Marcell Ozuna has recorded two or more total bases in each of the Braves’ last eight games as underdogs.
• Charlie Morton has recorded a win in three of his last four appearances against the Mets.
• Sean Murphy has recorded a Double in each of his three previous appearances with his team as an underdog against the Mets.
• Marcell Ozuna has recorded at least one hit in each of the Braves’ last eight games as underdogs.
• Sean Murphy has recorded at least one RBI in five of his last six appearances against the Mets.
• Marcell Ozuna has hit at least one home run in four of the Braves’ last five night games against opponents that held a winning record.
• Charlie Morton has recorded seven or more strikeouts in three of his last four appearances against NL East opponents.
• Austin Riley has recorded at least one Single in each of his last seven appearances with the Braves as road underdogs against NL East opponents.
• Jarred Kelenic has scored at least one run in each of his last six appearances with his team as an underdog against NL East opponents.

NY Mets vs Atlanta Braves Prediction

I’ll stay with the Braves. I could probably go either way here, though. Atlanta should get a decent showing from Morton. He’s coming off one earned in 6.0 innings versus the Cardinals. That said, Morton posted seven earned over his previous 11.2 innings. Senga should do pretty well himself. It’ll be interesting to see his final line.

On Thursday the Braves gave up a game-winning hit to Jeff McNeil in the bottom of the 10th inning due to a bit of a fielding error. That makes six RBI in nine games since the break for McNeil. It was a tough loss for Atlanta, but I like them to bounce back Friday.