Tampa Bay Rays vs Cincinnati Reds Prediction 7-28-24 Picks

The Cincinnati Reds and the Tampa Bay Rays meet Sunday in MLB action from Tropicana Field. Here’s a Tampa Bay Rays vs Cincinnati Reds prediction. This will be the final installment in a three-game series. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for the game.

Cincinnati Reds Betting Preview

The Reds played a couple of games against the Atlanta Braves this week. Cincinnati managed wins in both of those 4-1 and 9-4. After a 3-2 win over the Rays in their weekend series opener, on Saturday the Reds took a 4-0 shutout loss. Starter Andrew Abbott put up 4.0 innings with four earned runs.

In the starter slot for Cincinnati on Sunday will be Hunter Greene. Greene is 7-4 with a 3.14 ERA in 20 starts this year. Over his career Greene is 16-24 with a 4.13 ERA in 66 starts.

Tampa Bay Rays Betting Preview

Over on the Rays’ side, they played the Toronto Blue Jays in their last set. Tampa Bay lost Wednesday but otherwise won the remaining pair. On Saturday the Rays got 7.0 clean frames with three hits and a walk from starter Zack Littell.

As starter for Sunday the Rays didn’t immediately announce a name.

Total Runs Facts

• Each of the Rays’ last six home games against NL Central opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Seven of the Reds’ last eight games as favorites have gone OVER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Reds’ last five day games against American League opponents.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Rays’ last five games as underdogs against National League opponents.

Tampa Bay Rays Player Prop Facts

• Yandy Diaz has recorded at least one total base in each of his last 24 appearances with the Rays as underdogs.
• Yandy Diaz has hit a home run in each of his last three appearances against the Reds after playing the previous day.
• Yandy Diaz has recorded an RBI in five of the Rays’ last six games against NL Central opponents.
• Yandy Diaz has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 24 appearances with the Rays as underdogs.
• Amed Rosario has recorded at least one Single in seven of his last eight appearances with his team as an underdog against the Reds.
• Brandon Lowe has scored at least one run in five of his last six appearances with the Rays as underdogs against NL opponents.

Cincinnati Reds Player Prop Facts

• Elly De La Cruz has scored at least one run in eight of the Reds’ last nine day games against opponents that held a winning record.
• Elly De La Cruz has recorded at least one total base in each of his last eight appearances with the Reds as favorites.
• Elly De La Cruz has recorded at least one hit in each of his last eight appearances with the Reds as favorites.
• Jake Fraley has recorded at least one Single in each of his last five appearances in day games against AL East teams that held a winning record.
• Spencer Steer has hit a home run in each of the Reds’ last two games as favorites against AL opponents.
• Tyler Stephenson has recorded an RBI in each of his last three appearances with the Reds as road favorites against AL opponents.
• Hunter Greene has recorded a win in three of his last four appearances against opponents that held a winning record.
• Hunter Greene has recorded seven or more strikeouts in four of his last five appearances with the Reds as favorites against AL opponents.

Rays vs Reds Pick Injury Notes

Rays SP Ryan Pepiot (knee) will throw off a mound in the coming days. SP Jeffrey Springs (elbow) will throw a bullpen session Sunday.

Tampa Bay Rays vs Cincinnati Reds Prediction

I’ll try the Reds in this one. Greene is pitching well right now. In his last three starts Greene is 2-0 with just one earned on seven hits and seven walks in 20.0 innings total. Cincinnati will be in good shape if he can keep it up.

On Saturday the Reds were out-hit 8-4 on the way to the shutout defeat. The good news is that the bullpen performed well with 4.0 innings, no hits and two walks. Cincinnati is capable of bouncing back here but I’m probably staying away.