Miami Marlins vs Chicago Cubs Prediction 8-23-24 MLB Picks

In this article we will formulate a Miami Marlins vs Chicago Cubs prediction for this MLB game on Friday, August 23rd at loanDepot park in Miami, Florida. Let’s take a look at the prediction for game one in the series.

Miami Marlins Betting Preview

The Miami Marlins are 46-81 this year and they have lost six of their last seven games. Miami is coming off of a series loss against Arizona, where they lost all three games. Prior to that series, the Marlins lost two out of three against the Mets, split two games with the Phillies, and lost two out of three against the Padres. Miami is 3-9 in their last 12 games and they are last in the NL East. 

The Miami pitching staff has a 4.65 ERA, a 1.38 WHIP, and a .256 opponent batting average. The Marlins offense has scored 471 runs with a .239 batting average and a .294 on base percentage. Jake Burger is batting .249 with 25 home runs and 57 RBI’s for the Marlins this season. 

Chicago Cubs Betting Preview

The Chicago Cubs are 63-65 this season and they have won four of their last six games. Chicago is coming off of a series win against Detroit, where they won two out of three games. Prior to that series, the Cubs won two out of three against the Blue Jays, lost all three against the Guardians, and won both games against the White Sox. Chicago is 4-5 in their last nine games and they are third in the NL Central. 

The Chicago pitching staff has a 3.71 ERA, a 1.23 WHIP, and a .237 opponent batting average. The Cubs offense has scored 537 runs with a .234 batting average and a .309 on base percentage. Seiya Suzuki is batting .264 with 16 home runs and 56 RBI’s for the Cubs this season. 

Starting Pitchers

The projected starting pitcher for Miami is Max Meyer, who is 3-3 with a 5.58 ERA and a 1.36 WHIP over 40.1 innings pitched this year. Meyer has allowed at least four earned runs in four straight starts. The projected starting pitcher for Chicago is Kyle Hendricks, who is 3-10 with a 6.35 ERA and a 1.42 WHIP over 96.1 innings pitched this season. Hendricks has allowed two earned runs or fewer in two straight starts. 

Why the Cubs will beat the Marlins

• The Marlins have lost seven of their last eight night games against National League opponents.
• The road team has won each of the Marlins’ last four games.
• The Marlins have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight night games against National League opponents.
• The road team has covered the run line in each of the Marlins’ last four games.
• The Marlins have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last four night games against National League opponents.

Total Runs Facts

• Each of the Marlins’ last nine night games against NL Central opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
• Seven of the Cubs’ last eight road games against NL East opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Cubs’ last six night games.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the last five night games between the Cubs and Marlins at LoanDepot Park.

Miami Marlins Player Prop Facts

• Jake Burger has recorded at least one total base in each of his last eight appearances after not playing the previous day.
• Jake Burger has scored at least one run in each of his last seven home appearances after not playing the previous day.
• Jake Burger has recorded at least one RBI in seven of his last eight appearances after not playing the previous day.
• Jake Burger has hit a home run in each of his last five appearances after not playing the previous day.
• Jake Burger has recorded at least one hit in each of his last eight appearances after not playing the previous day.

Chicago Cubs Player Prop Facts

• Cody Bellinger has scored at least one run in nine of his last 10 appearances against the Marlins.
• Nico Hoerner has recorded at least one total base in each of the Cubs’ last 14 road games against NL opponents.
• Cody Bellinger has recorded an RBI in each of his last four appearances against the Marlins.
• Kyle Hendricks has recorded four or more strikeouts in each of his 11 previous appearances with the Cubs as road favorites against NL East opponents.
• Cody Bellinger has hit a home run in each of the Cubs’ last two road games against the Marlins.
• Nico Hoerner has recorded at least one hit in each of the Cubs’ last 14 road games against NL opponents.
• Cody Bellinger has recorded at least one Single in each of his last 13 road appearances against opponents that held a losing record.

Miami Marlins vs Chicago Cubs Prediction 

Chicago comes into this game after taking two out of three from Detroit earlier in the week, but they have struggled on the road, going just 27-36 this year. Miami has been one of the worst teams in the MLB this year and they are just 24-42 at home. The Marlins are near the bottom of baseball in team ERA and runs scored, as they have had quite a few injuries. Both of these pitchers have some ugly numbers this year, but Hendricks has had two strong starts in a row and should be able to silence the Miami bats. My Miami Marlins vs Chicago Cubs prediction is for the Cubs to win.