Boston Red Sox (70-66) vs. NY Mets (73-64)
September 2, 2024 7:10 pm EDT
The Line: NY Mets -156 / Boston Red Sox +131; Over/Under: +7.5
(Get latest betting odds)
The Boston Red Sox and NY Mets meet Monday in MLB game 1 action at Citi Field. Here’s a NY Mets vs Boston Red Sox Prediction. This article will include a NY Mets vs Boston Red Sox Pick.
Boston Red Sox Betting Preview
The Boston Red Sox are 70-67 on the year after playing the Blue Jays and Tigers. The Boston Red Sox have scored 9 runs in their last 3 games and 3 or fewer runs in 5 of their last 7 games. The Boston Red Sox have lost 7 of their last 8 games when scoring 3 or fewer runs. Jarren Duran leads the Boston Red Sox with 167 hits and 70 RBI, while Rafael Devers and Ceddanne Rafaela have combined for 253 hits and 143 RBI.
NY Mets Betting Preview
The NY Mets are 73-64 on the year after playing the Diamondbacks and White Sox. The NY Mets have scored 12 runs in their last 3 games and 4 or more runs in 5 of their last 8 games. The NY Mets have won 5 of their last 6 games when scoring 4 or more runs. Francisco Lindor leads the NY Mets with 151 hits and 80 RBI, while Pete Alonso and Brandon Nimmo have combined for 236 hits and 148 RBI.
Boston Red Sox vs NY Mets Pitching Pick Matchup
Brayan Bello gets the ball for the Boston Red Sox, and he is 12-6 with a 4.66 ERA and 131 strikeouts this season. Bello has allowed 20 hits and 10 runs in his last 30 innings. Bello has a 4.39 ERA and .243 allowed batting average in 65.2 road innings. This will be Bello’s first career game against the NY Mets.
Luis Severino gets the ball for the NY Mets, and he is 9-6 with a 3.96 ERA and 131 strikeouts this season. Severino has allowed 31 hits and 13 earned runs in his last 28.2 innings. Severino has a 3.13 ERA and .231 allowed batting average in 77.2 home innings. Severino is 5-7 with a 4.06 ERA and 91 strikeouts in his career against the Boston Red Sox.
Why the New York Mets will win
- The Red Sox have lost each of their last six games against National League opponents that held a winning record.
- The Mets have won 10 of their last 11 night games at Citi Field following a win.
- The Mets have covered the run line in seven of their last eight games.
- The Red Sox have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight night games against National League opponents following a road loss.
- The Mets have led after 5 innings in each of their last four games against American League opponents.
New York Mets Player Prop Facts
- Luis Severino has recorded five or more strikeouts in 14 of his last 15 appearances with his team as a home favorite against AL East opponents.
- Francisco Lindor has recorded at least one hit in each of the Mets’ last 12 games.
- Francisco Lindor has recorded at least one total base in each of the Mets’ last 12 games.
- Luis Severino has recorded a win in three of his last four appearances with the Mets as favorites.
- J.D. Martinez has hit at least one home run in seven of his last nine appearances with his team as a home favorite against AL East opponents.
- Jeff McNeil has recorded at least one Single in each of his last six appearances against the Red Sox after playing the previous day.
- J.D. Martinez has recorded at least one RBI in eight of his last nine appearances with his team as a home favorite against AL East opponents.
- Francisco Lindor has recorded at least one Double in six of the Mets’ last eight night games against AL East opponents that held a winning record.
- Francisco Lindor has scored at least one run in eight of the Mets’ last nine games against AL opponents.
Boston Red Sox Player Prop Facts
- Jarren Duran has recorded at least one RBI in each of the Red Sox’s last five games as underdogs against NL opponents.
- Jarren Duran has recorded a Double in each of the Red Sox’s last five games as underdogs against NL opponents.
- Jarren Duran has scored at least one run in each of the Red Sox’s last seven road games against NL opponents.
- Jarren Duran has recorded at least one hit in each of the Red Sox’s last 19 road games against NL opponents.
- Jarren Duran has recorded at least one total base in each of the Red Sox’s last 19 road games against NL opponents.
- Jarren Duran has hit a home run in three of the Red Sox’s last four night games against opponents that held a winning record.
- Ceddanne Rafaela has recorded at least one Single in each of the Red Sox’s last six road games against NL opponents that held a winning record.
Matchup/League Facts
- The New York Mets rank 29th in the league for walks allowed this season (512).
- The New York Mets rank 3rd in the league for opponent batting average this season (.233).
- The Boston Red Sox rank 1st in the league for doubles this season (271).
- The Boston Red Sox are one of only 2 teams in the league to rank top 10 in both steals and home runs this season.
NY Mets vs Boston Red Sox Prediction
The Red Sox and Mets are both fighting for wild card spots, but it feels like both teams are heading in different directions. The Mets have caught fire while the Red Sox are struggling. Brayan Bello just isn’t a pitcher I trust on the road, and Luis Severino has been respectable this season overall and even better at home. The price is reasonable when you consider the Red Sox and Mets are heading in different directions. Give me the Mets to draw first blood in this series.
