Baltimore Orioles vs Tampa Bay Rays Prediction 9-7-24 MLB Picks

In this article, we will formulate a Baltimore Orioles vs Tampa Bay Rays prediction for this MLB game on Saturday, September 7th at Camden Yards in Baltimore, Maryland. Let’s take a look at the prediction for game two in the series.

Baltimore Orioles Betting Preview

The Baltimore Orioles are 82-60 this year and they have won four of their last five games. Baltimore won game one in this series by a score of 2-0 on Friday night. Prior to this series, the Orioles won two out of three against the White Sox, won two out of three against the Rockies, and lost two out of three against the Dodgers. Baltimore is 6-4 in their last 10 games and they are first in the AL East. 

The Baltimore pitching staff has a 3.90 ERA, a 1.23 WHIP, and a .238 opponent batting average. The Orioles’ offense has scored 709 runs with a .251 batting average and a .317 on-base percentage. Gunnar Henderson is batting .282 with 36 home runs and 85 RBI’s for the Orioles this season. 

Tampa Bay Rays Betting Preview

The Tampa Bay Rays are 69-72 this season and they have split their last four games. Tampa Bay lost the first game in this series and they couldn’t find any runs in the loss. Prior to this series, the Rays split four games with the Twins, lost two out of three against the Padres, and lost two out of three against the Mariners. Tampa Bay is 3-6 in their last nine games and they are fourth in the AL East. 

The Tampa Bay pitching staff has a 3.94 ERA, a 1.23 WHIP, and a .240 opponent batting average. The Rays offense has scored 545 runs with a .230 batting average and a .305 on-base percentage. Yandy Diaz is batting .275 with 13 home runs and 62 RBI’s for the Rays this season. 

Starting Pitchers

The projected starting pitcher for Baltimore is Zach Eflin, who is 10-7 with a 3.60 ERA and a 1.12 WHIP over 142.1 innings pitched this year. Eflin has allowed two earned runs or fewer in four straight starts. The projected starting pitcher for Tampa Bay is Ryan Pepiot, who is 7-6 with a 3.76 ERA and a 1.12 WHIP over 107.2 innings pitched this season. Pepiot has allowed two earned runs or fewer in four of his last five starts. 

Why the Orioles will beat the Rays

• The Orioles have won seven of their last eight games against the Rays.
• The Rays have lost five of their last six games at Oriole Park at Camden Yards.
• The Orioles have covered the run line in each of their last eight games against the Rays.
• The Rays have failed to cover the run line in each of their last six games against the Orioles following a loss.
• The Orioles have led after 3 innings in each of their last five-day games against opponents that held a losing record.
• The Orioles have led after 5 innings in each of their last 10 games against the Rays.

Total Runs Facts

• Ten of the Rays’ last 11 road games against American League opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Each of the Orioles’ last four home games after playing the previous day has gone OVER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Rays’ last six games as road underdogs against American League opponents.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Orioles’ last three games as favorites against AL East opponents.

Baltimore Orioles Player Prop Facts

• Gunnar Henderson has recorded at least one RBI in each of the Orioles’ last six home games against AL East opponents.
• Zach Eflin has recorded a win in each of his last five appearances.
• Gunnar Henderson has hit a home run in four of the Orioles’ last five games against AL East opponents.
• Gunnar Henderson has recorded at least one total base in each of the Orioles’ last 18-day games.
• Gunnar Henderson has scored at least one run in each of his last seven home appearances against AL opponents that held a losing record.
• Gunnar Henderson has recorded at least one hit in each of the Orioles’ last 18-day games.
• Zach Eflin has recorded five or more strikeouts in each of his last seven home appearances against AL East opponents.
• Gunnar Henderson has recorded at least one Single in each of the Orioles’ last 13 Saturday day games at Oriole Park at Camden Yards.

Tampa Bay Rays Player Prop Facts

• Josh Lowe has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 12 road appearances against AL East opponents that held a winning record.
• Josh Lowe has recorded a Single in each of his last six road appearances against AL East opponents.
• Josh Lowe has recorded at least one RBI in three of the Rays’ last four road games against AL East opponents.
• Jose Siri has hit a home run in three of his last four road appearances with the Rays against AL opponents.
• Josh Lowe has recorded at least one total base in each of his last 12 road appearances against AL East opponents that held a winning record.
• Brandon Lowe has scored a run in four of his last five appearances with the Rays as underdogs.

Baltimore Orioles vs Tampa Bay Rays Prediction 

Baltimore wasn’t able to generate much offense on Friday night, but it was good enough to get the win, as they remain in first place in the AL East. The Orioles are 42-31 at home, while the Rays are 32-34 on the road. Tampa Bay continues to be one of the lowest-scoring teams in the MLB, but their pitching staff has actually been pretty good.

The Rays are starting Pepiot, who has been very solid over his last nine outings. The Orioles are going with Eflin, who has also pitched very well recently. This should be a lower-scoring game, but I can’t back the Rays and their offense here. Take the Orioles to win by at least two runs.