Texas A&M Aggies (1-1) vs. Florida Gators (1-1)
September 14, 2024 3:30 pm EDT
The Line: Florida Gators +4.5 / Texas A&M Aggies -4.5; Over/Under: 46.5
(Get latest betting odds)
The Texas A&M Aggies and Florida Gators meet Saturday in week 3 college football action at Ben Hill Griffin Stadium. Here’s a Florida vs Texas A&M Prediction. This article will include a Florida vs Texas A&M Pick.
Texas A&M Aggies Betting Preview
The Texas A&M Aggies lost to Notre Dame, beat McNeese, and play Bowling Green next. Texas A&M hasn’t won a true road game since October 2021. Conner Weigman is completing 52.3 percent of his passes for 225 yards, 2 touchdowns, and 2 interceptions. Cyrus Allen and Noah Thomas have combined for 138 receiving yards and 1 touchdown, while Jahdae Walker has 6 receptions.
The Texas A&M Aggies ground game is averaging 239.5 yards per contest, and Le’Veon Moss leads the way with 154 yards and 3 touchdowns. Defensively, Texas A&M is allowing 16.5 points and 317.5 yards per game. Taurean York leads the Texas A&M Aggies with 13 tackles, Nic Scourton has 1 sack and Will Lee III has 1 interception.
Florida Gators Betting Preview
The Florida Gators lost to Miami, beat Samford, and play Mississippi State next. The Florida Gators have won 5 of their last 8 home games. DJ Lagway is completing 67.7 percent of his passes for 487 yards, 3 touchdowns, and 1 interception. Eugene Wilson III and Elijhah Badger have combined for 357 receiving yards and 1 touchdown, while Chimere Dike has 2 receptions.
The Florida Gators ground game is averaging 152.5 yards per contest, and Montrell Johnson Jr. leads the way with 173 yards and 3 touchdowns. Defensively, Florida is allowing 24 points and 367 yards per game. Shemar James leads the Florida Gators with 9 tackles, Tyreak Sapp has 2 sacks and Jordan Castell has 2 pass deflections.
Why the Florida Gators will win
- Florida has won each of its last 10 September home games against non-AP-ranked teams.
- Texas A&M has lost each of its last three road games against conference opponents.
- Texas A&M has failed to cover the spread in nine of its last 10 games.
- Florida has covered the spread in five of its last six September games as an underdog.
- Florida has won the first half in three of its last four games against conference opponents at Ben Hill Griffin Stadium.
Total Points Facts
- Each of Florida’s last seven games against conference opponents has gone OVER the total points line.
- Each of Texas A&M’s last three games against conference opponents has gone OVER the total points line.
Matchup/League Facts
- Florida ranks T1st among FBS teams for Q4 win percentage this season (1.000).
- Florida ranks T14th among FBS teams for Q4 points per game this season (12.0).
- Texas A&M ranks T13th among FBS teams for H1 opponent points per game this season (3.0).
- Texas A&M ranks T17th among FBS teams for Q2 opponent points per game this season (1.5).
Florida vs Texas A&M Prediction
This line feels like it’s a carry-over from that Miami game. Florida looked awful. With that said, Texas A&M lost at home to a Notre Dame team that just lost to Northern Illinois as almost 30-point favorites. Conner Weigman hasn’t played well through two games. Florida also has a pep in its step offensively with DJ Lagway at quarterback, the guy was just a top-5 overall recruit. I expect Florida to come out with a chip on its shoulder, as this is a chance to redeem itself after getting embarrassed in its opening effort. I’m also not convinced Texas A&M is good or capable of winning a big game on the road.
Texas A&M has covered 6 of its last 8 road games when favorites of 3 or more points. I’m still grabbing the points with Florida and may sprinkle the ML as well.
