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Philadelphia Phillies vs NY Mets Prediction 9-13-24 MLB Picks

NY Mets (80-66) vs. Philadelphia Phillies (88-58)
September 13, 2024 6:40 pm EDT
The Line: Philadelphia Phillies -156 / NY Mets +131; Over/Under: +8.5
(Get latest betting odds)

In this article, we will formulate a Philadelphia Phillies vs New York Mets Prediction for this MLB game on Friday, September 13th, at Citizens Bank Park. 

How Did the Mets Win the Last Game?

The Mets were being no-hit heading into the 9th inning of the last game, but they didn’t give up and ended up scoring six runs in the 9th. Fransico Lindor tied the game with a home run, and then the floodgates opened. Sean Manaea did have a strong start, going 6.1 innings, giving up three hits and one run. The Mets are averaging 4.74 runs, while their pitching is giving up 4.34 runs per game.


The offense is ranked 9th in the league, while the pitching is ranked 16th. Pete Alonso has hit 31 home runs and driven in 80 RBIs so far this season. Getting the start for the Mets will be Jose Quintana, who sits with an 8-9 record and an ERA of 4.09. In his last start against the Cincinnati Reds, he went 6.2 innings giving up five hits and zero runs. 

Why the Mets Will Beat the Phillies 

  • The Mets have won 10 of their last 15 games as underdogs against National League opponents.
  • The Phillies have lost each of their last five Friday night games against teams that held a winning record.
  • The Mets have covered the run line in each of their last seven games as road underdogs against NL East opponents following a road win.
  • The Phillies have failed to cover the run line in nine of their last 11 home games against teams that held a winning record.
  • The Phillies have trailed after 3 innings in three of their last four games as home favorites against NL East opponents.
  • The Mets have led after 5 innings in each of their last four night games against NL East opponents.

Phillies Have Won Three Straight

The Phillies have won three straight games and the pitching has been good. Over the last three games, the pitching has given up seven runs total. In the last game against the Tampa Bay Rays, he was able to secure a 3-2 victory. Zack Wheeler went six innings, giving up four hits and two runs. He had nine strikeouts. The Phillies are averaging 4.89 runs, while their pitching is giving up 4.04 runs per game.

The offense is ranked 5th in the league, while the pitching is naked 7th. Getting the start for the Phillies will be Aaron Nola, who sits with a 12-7 record and an ERA of 3.41. In his last start against the Miami Marlins, he went 4.2 innings giving up nine hits and five runs. 

Philadelphia Phillies vs NY Mets Prediction

Aaron Nola struggled in his last start, and he’s going to struggle again here. Quintana, in his last start, gave up zero runs, and he’s going to dominate again here. The Phillies are going to really struggle to get any sort of offense going, and that will be the difference here. The Mets are going to have no issue cruising to victory here. Back the Mets to win this game. I am also throwing some money on the Mets -1.5. 

Shane Mickle's Free Pick: Mets ML

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Shane Mickle

Sports is about all Shane knows in this life! He has a passion for sports and writing, which makes working for Sportschatplace a perfect job for him! If you find him cheering for a team it's usually a Minnesota team, or the Kansas Jayhawks!

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