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Atlanta Braves vs LA Dodgers Prediction 9-15-24 MLB Picks

LA Dodgers (87-60) vs. Atlanta Braves (80-67)
September 15, 2024 7:10 pm EDT
The Line: Atlanta Braves -102 / LA Dodgers -110; Over/Under: -
(Get latest betting odds)

The Los Angeles Dodgers and the Atlanta Braves meet Sunday in MLB action from Truist Park. Here’s an Atlanta Braves vs LA Dodgers Prediction. This will be the final installment in a four-game series. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best Braves vs Dodgers pick.

Los Angeles Dodgers Betting Preview

The Dodgers took on the Chicago Cubs in their last series. LA lost the first pair but stopped the sweep with a 10-8 win Wednesday. After a 6-2 loss to the Braves in the opener, on Saturday the Dodgers were blown out 10-1. Starter Jack Flaherty gave up four earned in 3.0 innings.


Starter for Sunday will be LA’s Walker Buehler. This year Buehler is 1-5 with a 5.95 ERA in 13 starts. Buehler is 47-21 with a 3.27 ERA in 128 career games (119 starts).

Atlanta Braves Betting Preview

Over on the Braves’ side, they played a pair versus the Washington Nationals this past week. splitting for a draw. In the Saturday game two versus LA, the Braves posted six runs in the sixth inning alone on the way to the victory. Chris Sale went 6.0 innings in the start with one earned run.

Charlie Morton will start for the Braves on Sunday. This year Morton is 8-8 with a 4.11 ERA in 27 starts. Morton is 138-121 with a 4.01 ERA in 380 games (379 starts).

Why the Atlanta Braves will win

  • The home team has won each of the last six games between the Dodgers and Braves.
  • The Dodgers have lost eight of their last nine road games against NL East opponents that held a winning record.
  • The Braves have covered the run line in eight of their last nine games against teams that held a winning record.
  • The Dodgers have failed to cover the run line each of their last four games against NL East opponents that held a winning record.
  • The Braves have won the first inning in each of their last four games against NL West opponents.
  • The Dodgers have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last five road games against NL East opponents that held a winning record.
  • The Dodgers have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last five road games against NL East opponents that held a winning record.

Why the Los Angeles Dodgers will win

  • The Braves have lost four of their last five night games following a win.
  • The Dodgers have won seven of their last eight Sunday games.
  • The Braves have failed to cover the run line in four of their last five games following a win.
  • The Dodgers have covered the run line in eight of their last nine Sunday games against NL East opponents.

Total Runs Facts

  • Eleven of the Braves’ last 12 home games against National League opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
  • Eight of the Dodgers’ last nine games against National League opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
  • The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Braves’ last four games against NL West opponents.
  • The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Dodgers’ last four road games against NL East opponents.

Atlanta Braves vs LA Dodgers Prediction

I’m going to stay with the Braves. Morton is a tepid 1-1 over his last three starts, but hasn’t been pitching too badly. In that trio Morton has six earned runs in 17.1 total innings. As for Buehler, he’s coming off five earned in 5.0 innings in a loss to the Cubs but was pitching better before that.

On Saturday Atlanta had a couple of big innings at the plate and the pitching was solid overall. The Braves pen came away with 3.0 frames, zero earned, two hits, one walk and one K. Another good performance like that Sunday and Atlanta will keep the wins going,

Andrew's Free Pick: Atlanta Braves -102

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Andrew

Andrew has been writing about college, professional and fantasy sports betting since 2013. Andrew's goal is to break down the complicated numbers and trends into a language that's easily accessible to novice sports bettors and seasoned professionals alike.

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