Vanderbilt Commodores (2-1) vs. Missouri Tigers (3-0)
September 21, 2024 4:15 pm EDT
The Line: Missouri Tigers -21 / Vanderbilt Commodores +21; Over/Under: +53.5
(Get latest betting odds)
The Vanderbilt Commodores and the Missouri Tigers meet Saturday in college football action from Faurot Field. Here’s a Missouri vs Vanderbilt prediction. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best Missouri vs Vanderbilt pick.
Vanderbilt Commodores Betting Preview
Vanderbilt’s season kicked off with a matchup versus Virginia Tech. It took overtime to get there, but the Commodores would come away with a 34-27 win. Game two versus Alcorn State was significantly easier. Vanderbilt posted a 55-0 blowout win in that one.
Last weekend versus Georgia State, the Commodores scored a blistering 22 points in the final quarter but it wasn’t enough in a 36-32 loss. Diego Pavia threw for 270 yards and two touchdowns. Leading the rush was Sedrick Alexander with 42 yards and a TD.
Missouri Tigers Betting Preview
Over on the Tigers’ side, they posted a couple of dominant blowout wins in their first pair of games. The opener was a 51-0 shutout against Murray State. Missouri kept it rolling the next weekend, easily dispatching Buffalo 38-0 in another blowout.
In game three versus Boston College, the Tigers had a pretty dramatic battle. Missouri held a slim 17-14 lead after the first half and ultimately eked out the win 27-21. QB Brady Cook logged 264 yards and a TD while Nate Noel led the rush on 22 carries for 121 yards.
Why the Missouri Tigers will win
- Vanderbilt has lost each of its last 16 games against AP-ranked teams.
- Missouri has won each of its last nine games against non-AP-ranked teams.
- Vanderbilt has failed to cover the spread in seven of its last eight games in September.
- Missouri has covered the spread in six of its last seven games against non-AP-ranked teams.
- Vanderbilt has lost the first half in each of its last nine games against conference opponents.
Why the Vanderbilt Commodores will win
- Vanderbilt has covered the spread in four of its last five September games as a road underdog against top-15 AP-ranked teams.
Total Points Facts
- Each of Vanderbilt’s last seven games in September has gone OVER the total points line.
- Each of Missouri’s last four games has gone UNDER the total points line.
Missouri vs Vanderbilt Prediction
I’ll stick with Missouri. The Tigers were barely able to fend off a plucky Boston College team last weekend despite posting 440 total yards (264 passing), 22 first downs, and a nice 11-of-19 rate on third downs. Missouri’s eight penalties for 91 yards didn’t help, but otherwise, the team looked pretty good statistically overall.
As for Vanderbilt, they’re coming off a tough loss themselves despite a late push. The Commodores finished with 380 yards of offense (270 passing) but gave up 426 yards (269 passing) on the other side. This weekend’s matchup will be even tougher.
