NY Mets vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction 9-21-24 MLB Picks

The Philadelphia Phillies and the New York Mets meet Saturday in MLB action from Citi Field. Here’s a NY Mets vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction. This will be the third installment in a four-game series. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best Mets vs Phillies pick.

Philadelphia Phillies Betting Preview

Philadelphia played the Milwaukee Brewers in their last series. The Phillies won 5-1 Tuesday but lost the other pair in that set. After a 10-6 loss to the Mets Thursday, in game two Philadelphia powered out a 12-2 win. Christopher Sanchez lasted 5.0 innings with two earned in the start.

Starter for Saturday will be Philly’s Ranger Suarez. This year Suarez is 12-7 with a 3.13 ERA in 25 starts. Suarez is 41-28 with a 3.34 ERA in 159 career games (91 starts).

New York Mets Betting Preview

Over on the Mets’ side, they were able to sweep the Washington Nationals in their last series with wins 2-1, 10-1 and 10-0. On Friday New York gave up 17 hits and blew an early 2-0 lead in the defeat.

It’ll be Sean Manaea in the start for the Mets Saturday. So far Manaea is 11-5 with a 3.26 ERA in 30 starts. Manaea is 76-61 with a 3.98 ERA in 226 games (196 starts).

Total Runs Facts

• Nine of the Mets’ last 10 day games against National League opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Seven of the Phillies’ last eight games against NL East opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Phillies’ last seven road games against NL East opponents.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Mets’ last four day games at Citi Field.

New York Mets Player Prop Facts

• Francisco Lindor has recorded a Double in three of his last four appearances against opponents that held a winning record.
• Jose Iglesias has recorded at least one total base in each of the Mets’ last 14 games.
• Starling Marte has recorded at least one RBI in each of his last four appearances in day games.
• Jose Iglesias has recorded at least one Single in each of the Mets’ last seven day games.
• Sean Manaea has recorded a win in each of his last three appearances against NL opponents that held a winning record.
• Francisco Lindor has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 14 appearances against opponents that held a winning record.
• Sean Manaea has recorded nine or more strikeouts in four of his last five appearances against opponents that held a winning record.
• Brandon Nimmo has hit a home run in two of the Mets’ last three games against NL East opponents.
• Francisco Lindor has scored at least one run in seven of his last eight home appearances.

Philadelphia Phillies Player Prop Facts

• Alec Bohm has recorded at least one RBI in four of the Phillies’ last five games against the Mets at Citi Field.
• Bryson Stott has recorded at least one Single in each of his last nine road appearances against NL opponents.
• Ranger Suarez has recorded a win in each of his last three appearances against the Mets.
• Kyle Schwarber has recorded at least one hit in each of the Phillies’ last 13 road games.
• Ranger Suarez has recorded five or more strikeouts in each of his last eight appearances against NL opponents that held a winning record.
• Alec Bohm has hit a home run in two of the Phillies’ last three games against opponents that held a winning record.
• Trea Turner has scored at least one run in eight of his last nine appearances against the Mets after playing the previous day.
• Kyle Schwarber has recorded at least one total base in each of the Phillies’ last 13 road games.

NY Mets vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction

I’m staying with the Mets. Manaea had a shaky start versus the Reds on September 6, going 6.2 innings with four earned. Since then however, Manaea has just two earned in 13.2 total innings. As for Suarez, he’s given up seven earned over his last 10.1 innings in two starts.

On Friday the Mets could only find four team hits—with two of them belonging to Jose Iglesias (solo homer) New York suffered a rough pitching outing Friday, and they’ll pretty much need a complete reset for game three.