New Mexico State vs New Mexico Prediction 9-28-24 College Football Picks

In this article, we will formulate a New Mexico State vs New Mexico prediction for this College Football Week 5 game on Saturday, September 28th, at Aggie Stadium. .  Let’s take a look at a New Mexico State Aggies vs New Mexico pick. 

New Mexico State Have Struggled

New Mexico State has struggled heading into this game and they have lost three of the last four games. In the last game against Sam Houston State, New Mexico State scored 11 points while the defense gave up 31 points and that led to the defeat. At the end of the first quarter they were down 14-3 and they never bounced back. Quarterback Santanio Marucci completed 14 of his 29 passes for 74 yards, one touchdown, and two interceptions. 

Seth McGowan was the top running back finishing with 12 carries for 50 yards. TJ Pride caught five passes for 33 yards. New Mexico State is averaging 14.5 points while their defense is giving up 31.3 points per game. The offense is ranked 127th in the league while the defense is ranked 109th. 

Why New Mexico State Will Beat New Mexico

• New Mexico has lost six of its last seven games as a road favorite.
• New Mexico State has won six of its last seven home games.
• New Mexico State has covered the spread in eight of its last nine games against New Mexico.
• New Mexico has failed to cover the spread in six of its last seven games as a road favorite.

New Mexico Looking for First Win

New Mexico is looking for their first win of the season as they have lost all four games. In the last game against Fresno State, New Mexico scored 21 points, but the defense gave up 38 points and that led to the defeat. Devon Dampier did have a strong game outside the turnovers. He completed 33 of his 53 passes for 338 yards, one touchdown, and two interceptions. 

Devon Dampier was the top running back finishing with nine carries for 67 yards. Luke Wysong finished with 10 catches for 126 yards. New Mexico is averaging 27.5 points while their defense is giving up 44.8 points per game. The offense is ranked 82nd in the league. 

New Mexico State vs New Mexico Prediction

New Mexico is still looking for their first win of the season and I am not willing to lay this type of number with a team that hasn’t tasted victory yet. New Mexico’s defense is giving p 44.8 points per game and they are going to really struggle to defend here. New Mexico State is going  to get out the offense out to a fast start and that will be enough to keep it close. Back New Mexico State against the spread.