Chicago Bears vs LA Rams Prediction 9-29-24 NFL Picks

In this article we will formulate a Chicago Bears vs LA Rams prediction for this NFL game on Sunday, September 29th at Soldier Field in Chicago, Illinois. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this Week 4 matchup.

Chicago Bears Betting Preview

The Chicago Bears are 1-2 this season after they lost to Indianapolis by a score of 21-16 in their last game. Chicago cut the deficit to 14-9 in the second half, but couldn’t get any closer in the loss. The Bears outgained Indianapolis by a total of 395-306, lost the turnover battle 3-2, and went 9-21 on third down in the game. Caleb Williams threw for 363 yards, two touchdowns, and two interceptions, while Rome Odunze caught six passes for 112 yards and one score. 

Chicago defeated Tennessee by a score of 24-17 in week one, but they lost to Houston by a score of 19-13 in week two. The Chicago offense has scored 17.7 points per game with 176.7 passing yards and 72.7 rushing yards per game, while the defense has allowed 19 points per game this season. The Bears have gone 33.3% on third down and 7-9 on fourth down through three games. Caleb Williams has completed 59.3% of his passes for 630 yards, two touchdowns, and four interceptions, while DJ Moore has caught 19 passes for 167 yards. 

LA Rams Betting Preview

The Los Angeles Rams are 1-2 this year after they defeated San Francisco by a score of 27-24 in their last game. Los Angeles trailed 21-7 in the third quarter, but they scored the last 13 points in the fourth quarter for the win. The Rams were outgained by a total of 425-296, won the turnover battle 1-0, and went 5-12 on third down in the game. Matthew Stafford threw for 221 yards and one touchdown, while Kyren Williams rushed for 89 yards and two scores. 

Los Angeles lost to Detroit by a score of 26-20 in overtime in week one and Arizona by a score of 41-10 in week two. The LA offense has scored 19 points per game with 231.3 passing yards and 78 rushing yards per game, while the defense has allowed 30.3 points per game this season. The Rams have gone 34.3% on third down and 4-7 on fourth down so far this season. Matthew Stafford has completed 68.3% of his passes for 754 yards, two touchdowns, and one interception, while Kyren Williams has rushed for 164 yards and four scores. 

Why the Rams will beat the Bears

• The Bears have lost eight of their last 10 Sunday games against teams that held a losing record.
• The Rams have won three of their last four Week 4 games as underdogs against NFC opponents.
• The Bears have failed to cover the spread in 13 of their last 15 games against teams that held a losing record.
• The road team has covered the spread in eight of the Rams’ last 10 Week 4 games.
• The Rams have won the first quarter in four of their last five September games as road underdogs against NFC opponents.
• The Bears have lost the first half in each of their last 10 games in September.
• The Rams have scored the first touchdown in five of their last six games against the Bears.

Total Points Facts

• Each of the Rams’ last four road games against NFC North opponents has gone UNDER the total points line.
• Each of the Bears’ last four games has gone UNDER the total points line.

Chicago Bears Player Prop Facts

• D’Andre Swift has recorded 61+ rushing yards in four of his last five regular-season appearances with his team as a favorite.
• Khalil Herbert has recorded 57+ rushing and receiving yards in each of his last four appearances with the Bears as favorites against NFC opponents.
• D’Andre Swift has scored a touchdown in each of his five previous September home appearances against NFC opponents.
• Keenan Allen has recorded 55+ receiving yards in 15 of his 16 previous September home appearances.
• Kevin Byard is just one away from 30 career interceptions (including playoffs).

Los Angeles Rams Player Prop Facts

• Kyren Williams has recorded 87+ rushing yards in each of the Rams’ last four games following a home win.
• Cooper Kupp has recorded 78+ rushing and receiving yards in each of his last six appearances with the Rams as underdogs following a home win.
• Kyren Williams has scored at least one touchdown in each of his last eight regular-season appearances against NFC opponents.
• Cooper Kupp has recorded 78+ receiving yards in each of his last six appearances with the Rams as underdogs following a home win.
• Matthew Stafford has recorded 279+ passing yards in each of his last five appearances following a win.
• Matthew Stafford has thrown three touchdowns in each of his last two appearances against the Bears.
• Matthew Stafford has recorded 24+ completions in five of his last six appearances against the Bears.
• Kyren Williams ranks T1st in the NFL in touchdowns (5) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Bears rank 31st in the NFL in rushing yards per game (72.7) this season.
• The Bears rank T2nd in the NFL in fumbles recovered (2) this season.
• The Rams rank 32nd in the NFL in yards allowed per game (425.7) this season.
• The Rams rank 31st in the NFL in points allowed per game (30.3) this season.

Chicago Bears vs LA Rams Prediction 

Los Angeles was able to come from behind last week to beat the 49ers late in the fourth quarter, which was much needed after starting the season 0-2. The Rams are dealing with some very important injuries on the offensive side of the ball, but Stafford is still a very solid quarterback. Chicago has really struggled offensively so far this season and Caleb Williams is still looking to get into rhythm.

The Chicago offensive line is not doing Williams or the running game any favors, so they will look to improve that here. I really wish this line was at +3 for the Rams, but I just don’t trust Williams and the Chicago offense to consistently move the ball. Take the Rams here.